Mls · resolved market
Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd1c17a1688411c3bd27fe578e3099b2e040b0909fa7aefed65405b31327eaa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,044
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,044 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa04e…376abacked No | 37c | 1,351$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 14c | 691.97$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 472 | 40.7%192 W · 280 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 247.18$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.28 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Yes | 63c | 244.61$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.51 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c76…862dbacked Yes | 63c | 212.94$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c74…0d16backed Yes | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57bb…9302backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 71c | 125$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 65c | 101.54$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed No | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 63c | 81$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.97 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 62c | 80.24$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.49 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Yes | 63c | 70.48$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Yes | 62c | 65.48$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 35c | 58.52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.71 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde25…c0a5backed Yes | 65c | 55$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 59cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 360 | 51.9%187 W · 173 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1c…390dbacked Yes | 62c | 48.7$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.51 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Yes | 65c | 42.94$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.03 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde51…f222backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…5c87backed Yes | 73c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 206 | 60.7%125 W · 81 L | +19.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yes | 64c | 17.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 681 | 50.8%346 W · 335 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 1.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 2.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 3.5Over won
- Orlando City SC vs. Philadelphia Union: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Philadelphia Union won
- Spread: Philadelphia Union (-1.5)Orlando City SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.