Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: A Team vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbddca37384096eb5bb7597246b622a809aca39f04c17291af836720d3d954419
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- A Teamof A Team, Wolves Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,632
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,632 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeac2…dddcbacked A Team | 40c | 3,920$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,369.93 | 126 | 52.4%66 W · 60 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…6427backed A Team | 74c | 2,697$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.27 | 105 | 66.7%70 W · 35 L | +10.0wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Wolves Esports | 58c | 2,290$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.16 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Wolves Esports | 49c | 2,010$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$986.9 | 196 | 48.5%95 W · 101 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed A Team | 46c | 1,944$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,055.64 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | +12.8wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Wolves Esports | 48c | 810.83$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.12 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe97…361ebacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed A Team | 69c | 407.6$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.32 | 1,281 | 32.1%411 W · 870 L | -67.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Wolves Esports | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed03…1caabacked Wolves Esports | 63c | 300$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked Wolves Esports | 59c | 300$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.38 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 284.21$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Wolves Esports | 62c | 240$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.92 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Wolves Esports | 48c | 227.1$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.51 | 403 | 45.9%185 W · 218 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Wolves Esports | 48c | 218.67$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 969 | 45%436 W · 533 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc290…2e06backed Wolves Esports | 51c | 196.48$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.13 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…1044backed A Team | 50c | 185.88$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.38 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b8…31e6backed A Team | 31c | 185.55$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.49 | 364 | 46.2%168 W · 196 L | +24.4wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…4b77backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 144.37$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc269…7841backed Wolves Esports | 59c | 142.5$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed A Team | 49c | 122.84$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 1,495 | 46.6%696 W · 799 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c23…cab3backed Wolves Esports | 69c | 117.99$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.41 | 76 | 56.6%43 W · 33 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 101$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.38 | 151 | 53%80 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Wolves Esports | 65c | 101$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.09 | 1,253 | 49.5%620 W · 633 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc566…f8d7backed Wolves Esports | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 147 | 37.4%55 W · 92 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcc…9f91backed Wolves Esports | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 604 | 23%139 W · 465 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6be5…5ef9backed Wolves Esports | 47c | 98.33$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.22 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d03…b8a6backed A Team | 63c | 93.24$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.24 | 154 | 55.8%86 W · 68 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Wolves Esports | 44c | 79.65$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.76 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Wolves Esports | 31c | 70.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.53 | 697 | 22.8%159 W · 538 L | -94.4wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed Wolves Esports | 34c | 70$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26bd…e53bbacked Wolves Esports | 41c | 61.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Wolves Esports | 56c | 53.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.87 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked A Team | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 393 | 50.9%200 W · 193 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3e…1fbbbacked Wolves Esports | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -6.1wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed A Team | 54c | 42.68$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Wolves Esports | 39c | 41.66$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.12 | 913 | 33.2%303 W · 610 L | -89.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Wolves Esports | 39c | 41.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 326 | 57.4%187 W · 139 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Wolves Esports | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 110 | 42.7%47 W · 63 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xba3a…b49abacked A Team | 77c | 36.36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.36 | 60 | 68.3%41 W · 19 L | +6.4wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x497c…30a9backed Wolves Esports | 63c | 29.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Wolves Esports | 61c | 27.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 936 | 49.3%461 W · 475 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2805…a007backed Wolves Esports | 74c | 13.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 68cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: A Team vs Wolves Esports - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: A Team vs Wolves Esports (BO3) - VCT China Stage 2 Play-InsWolves Esports won
- Valorant: A Team vs Wolves Esports - Map 2 WinnerWolves Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.