TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Ostrava: Rudolf Molleker vs Daniel Siniakov

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Rudolf Mollekerof Rudolf Molleker, Daniel Siniakov
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$30,213
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$34,322

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,213 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 86 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84ad…bfb7backed Rudolf Molleker70c4,192$2,927 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,265.344,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Daniel Siniakov29c2,849$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.628,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd52…df69backed Daniel Siniakov42c1,539$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.1926545.3%120 W · 145 L+5.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Daniel Siniakov49c1,498$727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.8430744.6%137 W · 170 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Rudolf Molleker56c1,459$824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.2854345.3%246 W · 297 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Rudolf Molleker76c1,298$986 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.5210655.7%59 W · 47 L+13.2wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+28.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Rudolf Molleker58c1,228$712 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$515.5997745.2%442 W · 535 L-0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Daniel Siniakov31c1,057$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$323.613,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…46abbacked Daniel Siniakov46c1,010$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.7620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5f8d…8b2cbacked Daniel Siniakov25c956.98$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.838013.9%53 W · 327 L-38.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-55.2%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Daniel Siniakov13c940.23$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87fe…3cbebacked Daniel Siniakov44c860.16$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.471850%9 W · 9 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Daniel Siniakov43c822.44$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353.5325342.7%108 W · 145 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Daniel Siniakov43c789.89$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.756,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Daniel Siniakov20c640.65$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.191,44438%548 W · 896 L-46.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Daniel Siniakov18c600$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10828933.2%96 W · 193 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Daniel Siniakov42c588.77$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.2885250%426 W · 426 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Daniel Siniakov23c555.02$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.24,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Rudolf Molleker65c554.55$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.139,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e11…e1f5backed Daniel Siniakov30c539.67$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.921451.4%110 W · 104 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5213…6a35backed Daniel Siniakov44c456.83$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.011,86544.7%834 W · 1,031 L+36.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Rudolf Molleker74c367.89$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.094971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.2wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Rudolf Molleker54c354.14$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.044,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Daniel Siniakov44c338.53$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.952,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f01…0d90backed Rudolf Molleker56c305.29$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.3314443.1%62 W · 82 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Daniel Siniakov38c284.02$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.936,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ddc…e874backed Daniel Siniakov16c280.05$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.9732240.7%131 W · 191 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8642…47c8backed Rudolf Molleker54c270.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2525250%126 W · 126 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…b93dbacked Rudolf Molleker54c270.11$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.2511844.9%53 W · 65 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Rudolf Molleker55c233.26$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.5256754.5%309 W · 258 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd4ea…cfb2backed Daniel Siniakov41c217.18$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.741450%7 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8776…f2efbacked Rudolf Molleker58c201.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7117859%105 W · 73 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7607…85debacked Rudolf Molleker58c201.68$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7110851.9%56 W · 52 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-8.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac9e…cca3backed Rudolf Molleker54c180.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.8321856.4%123 W · 95 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe479…70dfbacked Daniel Siniakov31c172.43$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.6615337.9%58 W · 95 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6717…d6ebbacked Rudolf Molleker58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5936349.6%180 W · 183 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Rudolf Molleker73c147.87$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.789322.6%21 W · 72 L-13.7wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-61.3%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Rudolf Molleker76c145.77$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9813565.9%89 W · 46 L-5.3wins-0.04per pick70cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa182…3106backed Rudolf Molleker71c138.39$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.1360962.7%382 W · 227 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daniel Siniakov44c137$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.281,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2843…0ac5backed Rudolf Molleker76c129.68$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1223159.3%137 W · 94 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Rudolf Molleker56c124.62$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.837,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca1b…c69cbacked Daniel Siniakov10c108.03$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.87638.2%29 W · 47 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Daniel Siniakov26c103.83$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.53,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed Rudolf Molleker54c102.75$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.7851339.4%202 W · 311 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb20…bea0backed Daniel Siniakov40c101.26$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.514132.6%46 W · 95 L-12.5wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-25.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Rudolf Molleker64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Rudolf Molleker57c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.549142.8%210 W · 281 L-15.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2957…b26abacked Rudolf Molleker64c98.95$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3622550.2%113 W · 112 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1621…572cbacked Rudolf Molleker68c96.38$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1347252.1%246 W · 226 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Rudolf Molleker57c87.49$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.621,86545.6%851 W · 1,014 L+50.3wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5dfd…5909backed Daniel Siniakov22c85.13$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.071637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-23.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Rudolf Molleker54c82.62$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.011,10352.9%583 W · 520 L+2.0wins0.00per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa39…e4afbacked Daniel Siniakov19c82.42$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.262714.8%4 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-17.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x504b…b939backed Daniel Siniakov30c80.71$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.956048.3%29 W · 31 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Daniel Siniakov30c79.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9559440.2%239 W · 355 L-5.8wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d9…13f4backed Rudolf Molleker53c78.84$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.0614851.4%76 W · 72 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…8b08backed Rudolf Molleker77c74.8$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.225265.1%164 W · 88 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick68cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe31d…e7a4backed Rudolf Molleker54c72.03$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.1312748.8%62 W · 65 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x70f9…f25bbacked Daniel Siniakov44c70.17$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.8899056%554 W · 436 L+32.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Daniel Siniakov42c69.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.181,58847%746 W · 842 L-24.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f65…c1d0backed Rudolf Molleker58c68.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.6630349.8%151 W · 152 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed Daniel Siniakov27c68.19$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4195846.6%446 W · 512 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked Daniel Siniakov34c66$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5685449.6%424 W · 430 L+21.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Daniel Siniakov46c65.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.351,95548%939 W · 1,016 L+16.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Daniel Siniakov49c63.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.352,11855.9%1,185 W · 933 L+40.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7e…70ecbacked Rudolf Molleker56c60$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.41,00145.4%454 W · 547 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c34…7a99backed Rudolf Molleker54c54.02$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.858848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Daniel Siniakov33c52.15$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,53240.7%624 W · 908 L-48.7wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5428…e46abacked Rudolf Molleker58c50.42$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1810070%70 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick69cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Rudolf Molleker56c50.35$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.161,92355.4%1,066 W · 857 L-44.9wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Daniel Siniakov34c49.49$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.0156817.4%99 W · 469 L-74.2wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.8%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x3457…0161backed Rudolf Molleker71c46.21$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.45162.7%32 W · 19 L+5.2wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e4a…f43dbacked Daniel Siniakov40c40.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1413033.8%44 W · 86 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f86…ef4ebacked Daniel Siniakov46c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.39240.2%37 W · 55 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Rudolf Molleker56c38.94$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.1425751.8%133 W · 124 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e5a…724cbacked Rudolf Molleker54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5714761.2%90 W · 57 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x76e5…af5ebacked Rudolf Molleker54c36.01$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.577665.8%50 W · 26 L+7.2wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+16.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8e10…650cbacked Daniel Siniakov47c35.82$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.841323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick43cpaid-49.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb2e3…4874backed Rudolf Molleker78c34.93$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.7291880.5%739 W · 179 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick76cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe32a…efabbacked Rudolf Molleker72c33.8$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.462157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ded…68a3backed Rudolf Molleker59c33.06$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.5688560.2%533 W · 352 L-13.6wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x610b…36a3backed Daniel Siniakov50c29.1$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.5554744.4%243 W · 304 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87d1…3744backed Rudolf Molleker75c26.4$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.711,10466.9%739 W · 365 L+36.9wins+0.03per pick64cpaid+5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ef2…5584backed Rudolf Molleker53c25.92$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.1813458.2%78 W · 56 L+11.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+14.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4350…4bbabacked Rudolf Molleker69c22.57$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$730672.9%223 W · 83 L+27.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+10.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.