Tennis · resolved market
ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Vaishnavi Adkar vs Hina Inoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe00c29e7d5bb7d731a7455796c215cda5c21513fe82efad268180c6a386c285
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hina Inoueof Vaishnavi Adkar, Hina Inoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,030
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,426
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,030 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 26c | 7,677$2,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,004.82 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Hina Inoue | 76c | 6,002$4,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,461.24 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Hina Inoue | 66c | 711.65$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.18 | 1,960 | 43.8%858 W · 1,102 L | -20.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 33c | 679.36$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.98 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Hina Inoue | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 378 | 49.2%186 W · 192 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Hina Inoue | 68c | 338.24$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.24 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Hina Inoue | 66c | 302$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.68 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57e7…84e9backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 29c | 277.51$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 226 | 38.9%88 W · 138 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Hina Inoue | 58c | 256.32$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.71 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Hina Inoue | 66c | 231.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.18 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Hina Inoue | 71c | 216.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.84 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Hina Inoue | 72c | 178.72$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.23 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 26c | 139.12$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 6,512 | 54.5%3,546 W · 2,966 L | +289.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 25c | 120$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Hina Inoue | 67c | 112.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.84 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Hina Inoue | 75c | 106.67$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc243…5e94backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 25c | 90$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 153 | 37.9%58 W · 95 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Hina Inoue | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 897 | 54.6%490 W · 407 L | +8.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Hina Inoue | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 962 | 55.8%537 W · 425 L | +21.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Hina Inoue | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 956 | 55.9%534 W · 422 L | +19.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Hina Inoue | 65c | 66.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 35c | 66.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 29c | 53.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 33c | 52.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.38 | 627 | 49.4%310 W · 317 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 25c | 50$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,009 | 38.3%386 W · 623 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 32c | 47.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.11 | 3,711 | 45.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Hina Inoue | 65c | 43.47$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.1 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd936…b95fbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Hina Inoue | 79c | 38.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 967 | 55%532 W · 435 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Hina Inoue | 65c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Hina Inoue | 69c | 33.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.26 | 826 | 57.1%472 W · 354 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,639 | 46.4%1,224 W · 1,415 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Vaishnavi Adkar | 45c | 27.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 175 | 58.3%102 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2433…b690backed Vaishnavi Adkar | 43c | 25.68$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -5.4wins | -0.32per pick | 61cpaid | -57%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Hina Inoue | 77c | 25.17$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…5e60backed Hina Inoue | 78c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.21 | 76 | 75%57 W · 19 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Hina Inoue | 69c | 21.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b36ebacked Hina Inoue | 72c | 20.35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 520 | 46.7%243 W · 277 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Hina Inoue | 69c | 19.84$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.25 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Hina Inoue | 76c | 17.43$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…34cebacked Hina Inoue | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 440 | 51.6%227 W · 213 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc62f…1781backed Hina Inoue | 78c | 13.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 266 | 64.7%172 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Vitoria-Gasteiz: Vaishnavi Adkar vs Hina Inouethis page
- Adkar vs. Inoue: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Adkar vs. Inoue: Set 1 Games O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Adkar vs InoueInoue won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.