Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras: Alina Korneeva vs Darja Vidmanova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe219f7256050c06abcff163993d8b7b440148e08dbc9d9e5d9ae65d10331bbd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korneevaof Korneeva, Vidmanova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,241
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4699…5051backed Vidmanova | 8c | 2,037$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173 | 973 | 7.9%77 W · 896 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vidmanova | 3c | 1,461$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.61 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Korneeva | 74c | 1,064$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.68 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe320…e0c5backed Vidmanova | 18c | 944.44$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Vidmanova | 28c | 892.8$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.73 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Vidmanova | 12c | 838.08$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8d0…26c7backed Korneeva | 80c | 684$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Vidmanova | 31c | 662.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Korneeva | 78c | 638.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.13 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Vidmanova | 40c | 617$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 255 | 42%107 W · 148 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf03…37f5backed Vidmanova | 10c | 560$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb16…96b5backed Vidmanova | 37c | 545.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 444 | 48.9%217 W · 227 L | -13.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Vidmanova | 30c | 514.64$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.42 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7820…0b73backed Korneeva | 67c | 341.29$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Vidmanova | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Vidmanova | 34c | 266$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.44 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Korneeva | 68c | 264.15$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.52 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Vidmanova | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Korneeva | 62c | 190$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Vidmanova | 34c | 166.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.9 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Korneeva | 70c | 142.07$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.07 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Vidmanova | 28c | 106.4$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Vidmanova | 35c | 100$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Vidmanova | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Vidmanova | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae3…4dd4backed Korneeva | 61c | 99.75$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Korneeva | 60c | 79.7$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 466 | 49.8%232 W · 234 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Vidmanova | 33c | 70.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Vidmanova | 26c | 67.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Korneeva | 71c | 62.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.09 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Korneeva | 61c | 60.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Vidmanova | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Vidmanova | 29c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Vidmanova | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Vidmanova | 36c | 55.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Vidmanova | 34c | 54.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.6 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Korneeva | 64c | 44.81$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.13 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Vidmanova | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Korneeva | 76c | 38.53$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.43 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c00…1c78backed Vidmanova | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Korneeva | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.71 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Korneeva | 67c | 32.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06e0…ad29backed Korneeva | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 94 | 70.2%66 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e7…a447backed Korneeva | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.