Mls · resolved market
Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbe808fbb92b174c0206e295abd1d8f1f3d23508ee9c06f3654710a1f704bdab7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,577
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,577 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4956…e2c7backed No | 53c | 20,136$10,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,681.07 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 47c | 5,299$2,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,812.37 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 48c | 3,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8987…02f3backed Yes | 46c | 2,007$923 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.99 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 46c | 1,493$687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.06 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Yes | 46c | 812.14$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.56 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 47c | 806.67$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.1 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 49c | 749$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.27 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 67c | 648$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.9 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8105…3287backed Yes | 48c | 606.25$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.25 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 80c | 421.93$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.39 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 46c | 304$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.16 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 4c | 280.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 238.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.65 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 20c | 225.45$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.05 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 48c | 195.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes | 46c | 155.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.11 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 14c | 133.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 22c | 110$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Yes | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 37 | 75.7%28 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x844a…f6d7backed Yes | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Yes | 46c | 99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bea…038ebacked No | 15c | 91.63$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 46c | 70$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed No | 51c | 61.86$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 125 | 51.2%64 W · 61 L | +9.7wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 46c | 59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.86 | 526 | 39.5%208 W · 318 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Yes | 47c | 53.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2b…ccedbacked Yes | 49c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 68c | 32.88$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.54 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 46c | 21.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Inter Miami CF leading at halftime?this page
- Columbus Crew leading at halftime?No won
- Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: Draw at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.