Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wichita: Sebastian Gorzny vs Ozan Baris
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbee1a68fc5b333def584ac0f13fc65d18043def9ccb77818720f00bd48945fa8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ozan Barisof Sebastian Gorzny, Ozan Baris
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,787
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ozan Baris | 41c | 999.99$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.91 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Sebastian Gorzny | 26c | 624.53$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.42 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Ozan Baris | 44c | 599.99$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.5 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 60c | 551.72$331 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.03 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sebastian Gorzny | 56c | 486.4$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.38 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec28…8d7abacked Ozan Baris | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -7.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa477…c9c2backed Sebastian Gorzny | 58c | 347.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd056…f1bebacked Sebastian Gorzny | 58c | 215.52$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 643 | 50.2%323 W · 320 L | +10.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Ozan Baris | 42c | 194.32$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.86 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ozan Baris | 54c | 190.04$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.15 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52a0…ec9dbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 580 | 45.9%266 W · 314 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sebastian Gorzny | 21c | 169.58$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.48 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x5bdd…8fd9backed Sebastian Gorzny | 52c | 135.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Ozan Baris | 60c | 114.39$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.32 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 52c | 105.95$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.03 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Sebastian Gorzny | 54c | 102.66$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Sebastian Gorzny | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 326 | 49.1%160 W · 166 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa182…3106backed Sebastian Gorzny | 60c | 68.33$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 609 | 62.7%382 W · 227 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77de…e67abacked Sebastian Gorzny | 37c | 67.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 625 | 49.6%310 W · 315 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba1a…85febacked Ozan Baris | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 726 | 51.8%376 W · 350 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Ozan Baris | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ozan Baris | 40c | 57.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.56 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Ozan Baris | 67c | 56.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.81 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sebastian Gorzny | 53c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadf5…20f8backed Sebastian Gorzny | 53c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.25 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Sebastian Gorzny | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Ozan Baris | 46c | 44.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Sebastian Gorzny | 49c | 39.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca8…7e67backed Sebastian Gorzny | 58c | 38.79$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Ozan Baris | 42c | 30.87$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Sebastian Gorzny | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 830 | 47%390 W · 440 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sebastian Gorzny | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Ozan Baris | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Ozan Baris | 68c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.