Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 18?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf36d8275e7edba81e3ceee5fbc49e9e9b87e06dc91b8d3555778ab36dc87cee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,401
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,582
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,401 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 73c | 577.54$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.13 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 46c | 383.12$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.48 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 7c | 343.05$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.34 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 64c | 327.07$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.78 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1361…f12bbacked Yes | 45c | 270.59$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.32 | 1,924 | 33.8%651 W · 1,273 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035a…ff68backed Yes | 71c | 250.9$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 315 | 42.9%135 W · 180 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 46c | 235.23$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.91 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 78c | 223.21$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.24 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed No | 20c | 222.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 590 | 21.7%128 W · 462 L | -24.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c31…68a1backed No | 54c | 216.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.63 | 195 | 47.2%92 W · 103 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce5d…5b70backed Yes | 67c | 185.89$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.48 | 86 | 32.6%28 W · 58 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 39c | 181.04$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.54 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 49c | 166.4$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.4 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 27c | 140.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.61 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked No | 24c | 134.77$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.22 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed05…9368backed No | 21c | 127.12$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 51c | 118.93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.27 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 32c | 115.04$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.27 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb49f…1821backed No | 40c | 112.03$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1,061 | 53.2%564 W · 497 L | +33.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb666…8f47backed No | 26c | 106.44$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 42c | 106.17$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.67 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe00a…330ebacked Yes | 50c | 104.5$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.25 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc556…9720backed Yes | 79c | 100$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 255 | 49%125 W · 130 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff3…a737backed Yes | 74c | 99.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 60 | 41.7%25 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…c770backed Yes | 62c | 96.32$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.08 | 395 | 41.3%163 W · 232 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 53c | 88.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.25 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a1…20f9backed No | 32c | 87.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 340 | 57.1%194 W · 146 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked No | 35c | 86.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.38 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 28c | 82.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x919d…d88cbacked Yes | 57c | 75.08$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 145 | 44.8%65 W · 80 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 78c | 70.5$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.54 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…2ccdbacked Yes | 71c | 68.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.26 | 524 | 44.1%231 W · 293 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7a…ed18backed No | 35c | 68.51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.12 | 1,544 | 16.3%252 W · 1,292 L | +21.9wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c04…3d8bbacked No | 55c | 63.51$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558a…9fbebacked Yes | 79c | 61.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x013a…e374backed Yes | 47c | 57.63$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 84 | 32.1%27 W · 57 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b2…21f4backed Yes | 73c | 55.95$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 297 | 70.4%209 W · 88 L | +15.2wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 65c | 55.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.74 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68cf…7ddfbacked Yes | 57c | 55.79$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…619abacked Yes | 62c | 51.34$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 274 | 64.6%177 W · 97 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3646…ba5abacked Yes | 60c | 49.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 407 | 41.3%168 W · 239 L | +32.5wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x213e…5e0fbacked Yes | 79c | 47.42$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 657 | 49.8%327 W · 330 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Yes | 44c | 47.21$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.32 | 349 | 34.1%119 W · 230 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 43c | 45.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.98 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…1096backed Yes | 42c | 45.46$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 64c | 44.64$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x966c…087fbacked No | 38c | 43.81$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 441 | 47.4%209 W · 232 L | -17.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 64c | 40.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.38 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x733b…f7f7backed Yes | 75c | 39.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -7.8wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0d…6b9cbacked Yes | 48c | 39.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ea…b265backed Yes | 47c | 37.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.02 | 211 | 42.7%90 W · 121 L | +8.9wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf16…3a05backed Yes | 80c | 36.86$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 106 | 67%71 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 54c | 36.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed Yes | 46c | 36.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0633…d517backed No | 56c | 34.14$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d8…555fbacked No | 34c | 33.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.53 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 35c | 33.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.75 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3aae…e7a0backed Yes | 45c | 33.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.14 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x892c…2605backed No | 59c | 32.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 46c | 32.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.31 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5278…5306backed Yes | 62c | 31.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 149 | 41.6%62 W · 87 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8be9…845fbacked No | 57c | 30.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 60 | 63.3%38 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa36b…1d89backed No | 47c | 30.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.21 | 555 | 38.4%213 W · 342 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c1b…d915backed Yes | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 263 | 44.9%118 W · 145 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 63c | 29.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 49c | 29.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.02 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…7aa0backed No | 41c | 28.71$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7fb…5fb7backed No | 56c | 27.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 69 | 36.2%25 W · 44 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb060…9572backed Yes | 49c | 26.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.76 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7048…f896backed Yes | 54c | 26.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.9wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 54c | 25.71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ed…d51bbacked Yes | 42c | 24.91$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.57 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf644…a9afbacked No | 58c | 24.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd371…8f17backed Yes | 68c | 24.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0adb…9eb8backed No | 52c | 24.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5da1…a003backed Yes | 60c | 24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 171 | 38.6%66 W · 105 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1df…3d5dbacked Yes | 52c | 23.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4507…b272backed No | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe01…b8aebacked No | 57c | 23.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 264 | 58.7%155 W · 109 L | -20.5wins | -0.08per pick | 66cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa63f…a744backed No | 52c | 22.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36e2…200dbacked No | 45c | 22.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7cf…7825backed No | 54c | 21.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 289 | 54.3%157 W · 132 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8a…ad94backed Yes | 54c | 20.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 331 | 39.6%131 W · 200 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a3…2e6dbacked Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d37…0ef1backed Yes | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 102 | 58.8%60 W · 42 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5757…9e19backed Yes | 79c | 19.89$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 451 | 62.1%280 W · 171 L | +19.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad8a…9d7bbacked No | 65c | 19.3$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb423…c178backed No | 59c | 19.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 268 | 61.6%165 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c40…af19backed Yes | 59c | 17.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.08 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fab…01e9backed Yes | 75c | 16.65$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7284…b0f2backed Yes | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 18?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on April 18?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 18?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.