Tennis · resolved market
Plovdiv 2: Valerio Aboian vs Carlos Sanchez Jover
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf47fa49b90e6358512a6df8a18c27d55dc0d545a9027a8285e9585f4c3849de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Carlos Sanchez Joverof Valerio Aboian, Carlos Sanchez Jover
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,493
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,935
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,493 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 77c | 1,788$1,382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.61 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e86…6dfbbacked Valerio Aboian | 19c | 1,749$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.23 | 204 | 44.6%91 W · 113 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Valerio Aboian | 22c | 1,391$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Valerio Aboian | 21c | 1,373$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.95 | 271 | 39.1%106 W · 165 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 79c | 1,362$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.57 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00c8…0dabbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 79c | 1,204$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.74 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Valerio Aboian | 20c | 1,162$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.98 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Valerio Aboian | 22c | 1,141$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.98 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Valerio Aboian | 2c | 1,088$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.13 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 80c | 1,081$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.93 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Valerio Aboian | 6c | 640.2$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Valerio Aboian | 22c | 536.4$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 396 | 48%190 W · 206 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Valerio Aboian | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valerio Aboian | 6c | 452.75$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Valerio Aboian | 36c | 447.68$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.63 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Valerio Aboian | 13c | 424.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 753 | 12.2%92 W · 661 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 64c | 390.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Valerio Aboian | 20c | 332.75$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.14 | 2,766 | 47.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 80c | 317.84$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.57 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Valerio Aboian | 22c | 286$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Valerio Aboian | 24c | 266.08$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.9 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Valerio Aboian | 23c | 240.26$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.69 | 721 | 47.3%341 W · 380 L | -18.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Valerio Aboian | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Valerio Aboian | 21c | 221.91$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.38 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 80c | 208$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.6 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Valerio Aboian | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Valerio Aboian | 22c | 204.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3783…171dbacked Valerio Aboian | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 185 | 52.4%97 W · 88 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Valerio Aboian | 37c | 196.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Valerio Aboian | 18c | 195$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.05 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 62c | 163.39$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.7 | 341 | 48.1%164 W · 177 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Valerio Aboian | 21c | 142.86$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 203 | 36.5%74 W · 129 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b59…5e72backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 73c | 140.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.16 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 67c | 130.48$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.06 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Valerio Aboian | 21c | 114.46$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 267 | 48.7%130 W · 137 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed Valerio Aboian | 31c | 111.48$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.56 | 441 | 38.8%171 W · 270 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Valerio Aboian | 37c | 99.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.99 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…624fbacked Valerio Aboian | 22c | 98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 250 | 48.8%122 W · 128 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Valerio Aboian | 13c | 90.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Valerio Aboian | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf8e4…3b32backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 77c | 83.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.84 | 429 | 46.4%199 W · 230 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 65c | 75.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 1,021 | 57.8%590 W · 431 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Valerio Aboian | 20c | 75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Valerio Aboian | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Valerio Aboian | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…f356backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 67c | 66.1$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.81 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Valerio Aboian | 34c | 59.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 63c | 57.94$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Valerio Aboian | 40c | 57.67$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 80 | 72.5%58 W · 22 L | +10.2wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x877f…8f3bbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 63c | 49$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.13 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 59c | 33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Valerio Aboian | 46c | 28.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 455 | 66.4%302 W · 153 L | +10.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 75c | 27.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 54c | 25.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x301f…e84cbacked Carlos Sanchez Jover | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 302 | 68.9%208 W · 94 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeedc…d4c0backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 63c | 21.98$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 148 | 70.3%104 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7026…7939backed Carlos Sanchez Jover | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.