Tennis · resolved market
Zug: Philip Henning vs Thiago Monteiro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbf4a103c266e47cc5fc96592eaf7eee2d561e33b8470199a3485409796d86a76
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Philip Henningof Philip Henning, Thiago Monteiro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,709
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thiago Monteiro | 14c | 10,981$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.04 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Thiago Monteiro | 55c | 3,305$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,830.97 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca4…348fbacked Thiago Monteiro | 73c | 2,361$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.76 | 294 | 43.5%128 W · 166 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Philip Henning | 78c | 1,983$1,538 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.56 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Philip Henning | 72c | 1,533$1,099 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.54 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0284…97f6backed Thiago Monteiro | 70c | 1,393$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.33 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0f…4633backed Thiago Monteiro | 72c | 1,381$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philip Henning | 45c | 1,270$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.75 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Philip Henning | 27c | 1,251$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.84 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d4…dbd6backed Thiago Monteiro | 72c | 1,064$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.05 | 332 | 56%186 W · 146 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c62…7357backed Thiago Monteiro | 19c | 1,004$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.52 | 56 | 25%14 W · 42 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…9b78backed Thiago Monteiro | 38c | 975.33$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.03 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Philip Henning | 63c | 763.02$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.45 | 4,533 | 67.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L | +306.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Thiago Monteiro | 13c | 760.43$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.86 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Thiago Monteiro | 55c | 720$395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$394.77 | 223 | 37.7%84 W · 139 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Philip Henning | 28c | 701$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.91 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Philip Henning | 28c | 600$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Thiago Monteiro | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Thiago Monteiro | 72c | 417.21$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thiago Monteiro | 12c | 359.85$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.18 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef9f…8924backed Philip Henning | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 78 | 29.5%23 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Thiago Monteiro | 73c | 302.26$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.4 | 829 | 58.1%482 W · 347 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Thiago Monteiro | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Philip Henning | 46c | 177.04$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.6 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Thiago Monteiro | 13c | 175$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.75 | 2,049 | 46.8%958 W · 1,091 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Philip Henning | 61c | 157.36$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.37 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Thiago Monteiro | 43c | 150$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.05 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Philip Henning | 27c | 145.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Thiago Monteiro | 53c | 140.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.25 | 659 | 42.2%278 W · 381 L | -25.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Philip Henning | 30c | 134.08$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.08 | 63 | 44.4%28 W · 35 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74fc…492cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 80c | 124.22$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.38 | 179 | 72.6%130 W · 49 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 76cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Philip Henning | 28c | 107.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.14 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfaa…28f7backed Thiago Monteiro | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.5 | 939 | 45.5%427 W · 512 L | +20.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Thiago Monteiro | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.17 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Philip Henning | 35c | 86.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.22 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Philip Henning | 28c | 80$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.6 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Thiago Monteiro | 69c | 77.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Philip Henning | 58c | 73.47$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 1,256 | 65.4%821 W · 435 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Thiago Monteiro | 41c | 72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Philip Henning | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,250 | 44.7%559 W · 691 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Philip Henning | 28c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Philip Henning | 24c | 49.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.79 | 398 | 51%203 W · 195 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Philip Henning | 43c | 47.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.76 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…69a5backed Philip Henning | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 215 | 55.8%120 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Philip Henning | 71c | 41.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.19 | 789 | 57.8%456 W · 333 L | +56.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Philip Henning | 30c | 39.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.9 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x392a…da0cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 49c | 38.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 80 | 47.5%38 W · 42 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Philip Henning | 62c | 37.53$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.26 | 1,639 | 55.1%903 W · 736 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Philip Henning | 54c | 36.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 76 | 61.8%47 W · 29 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Thiago Monteiro | 61c | 30.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.58 | 1,853 | 57.7%1,069 W · 784 L | +106.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa00c…4820backed Thiago Monteiro | 40c | 29.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Thiago Monteiro | 40c | 29.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 127 | 67.7%86 W · 41 L | +15.2wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 71c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x476e…cfb9backed Thiago Monteiro | 68c | 28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 350 | 60.9%213 W · 137 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Thiago Monteiro | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 814 | 57%464 W · 350 L | +19.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed Thiago Monteiro | 75c | 25.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 1,021 | 49.8%508 W · 513 L | +42.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Thiago Monteiro | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,008 | 43.8%442 W · 566 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Philip Henning | 61c | 22.56$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Thiago Monteiro | 74c | 22$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.28 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe0c…c0cdbacked Thiago Monteiro | 72c | 20.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 587 | 50.4%296 W · 291 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 80c | 18.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 514 | 57.2%294 W · 220 L | +29.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4126…e68bbacked Philip Henning | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.95 | 1,159 | 69%800 W · 359 L | +56.8wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Thiago Monteiro | 80c | 15$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,532 | 40.7%624 W · 908 L | -48.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…645cbacked Thiago Monteiro | 72c | 13.89$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 49.3%37 W · 38 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.