TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Prairie View A&M Panthers vs. Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lionsof Prairie View A&M Panthers, Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,594
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$27,881

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,594 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers34c4,436$1,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,493.55,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions68c1,910$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ffb…e82abacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions59c1,529$905 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$623.9243450%217 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers47c1,477$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$692.461,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions57c1,238$707 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.11,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers30c1,140$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.891,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions65c616.22$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.292,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions63c427.75$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.621,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions72c337$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7761446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Prairie View A&M Panthers52c304.89$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.412,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions59c252.88$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.8893447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions64c241.37$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.011,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Prairie View A&M Panthers35c214.7$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.84,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fb7…fb66backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions72c206$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.94351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.9wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Prairie View A&M Panthers41c200$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$821,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers35c148.99$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.8970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions70c135.38$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.384854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers45c102.43$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.21,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6884…517cbacked Prairie View A&M Panthers30c100$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307227.8%20 W · 52 L0.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0eb7…1f17backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions65c92.31$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.3114930.2%45 W · 104 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick27cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Prairie View A&M Panthers29c73.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.451,24916.4%205 W · 1,044 L-189.4wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-51.1%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions63c60$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.24,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions61c54.52$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3293247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Prairie View A&M Panthers42c52.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0357655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Prairie View A&M Panthers37c50$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Prairie View A&M Panthers44c47.84$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.161,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xacbc…18e8backed Prairie View A&M Panthers38c41.49$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c34.81$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.412,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions65c33.65$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8987047.2%411 W · 459 L-23.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x890d…0e20backed Prairie View A&M Panthers41c28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0530945.6%141 W · 168 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions57c23.38$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0381453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x27f3…8382backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1013450%67 W · 67 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5920…b787backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions59c18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions78c16.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.712,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.