Tennis · resolved market
ITF Wuning: Yidi Yang vs Mai Hontama
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc0b46033785241ddf5aa753772790181333e2ee84738fb6ee96e06bd73d7f0bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Mai Hontamaof Yidi Yang, Mai Hontama
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,536
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,506
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,536 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yidi Yang | 24c | 6,294$1,519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.44 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed Yidi Yang | 50c | 5,650$2,829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.8 | 361 | 45.2%163 W · 198 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Mai Hontama | 55c | 1,822$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.29 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Mai Hontama | 65c | 1,478$961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.34 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed Mai Hontama | 54c | 1,468$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.46 | 212 | 44.3%94 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Mai Hontama | 52c | 1,346$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.33 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd95a…b567backed Yidi Yang | 55c | 1,101$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.48 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mai Hontama | 75c | 979.92$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.86 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Mai Hontama | 63c | 971.69$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.2 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d13…643cbacked Yidi Yang | 26c | 864.66$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.81 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…698cbacked Mai Hontama | 55c | 781.82$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.82 | 210 | 46.2%97 W · 113 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Mai Hontama | 65c | 748.96$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.14 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39e7…61f1backed Mai Hontama | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4270…6168backed Yidi Yang | 29c | 492.67$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.85 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8711…d2d0backed Yidi Yang | 58c | 487.29$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 433 | 58.4%253 W · 180 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mai Hontama | 46c | 446.51$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.12 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7736…6f6abacked Yidi Yang | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -7.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf1aa…9359backed Mai Hontama | 76c | 336.15$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.29 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Yidi Yang | 55c | 297.7$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.37 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed Yidi Yang | 79c | 290$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yidi Yang | 23c | 259.82$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.69 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yidi Yang | 33c | 240.01$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Yidi Yang | 40c | 216.45$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.16 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Mai Hontama | 27c | 206$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 452 | 35.8%162 W · 290 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…780dbacked Mai Hontama | 27c | 206$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 181 | 32.6%59 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Mai Hontama | 27c | 206$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Mai Hontama | 27c | 206$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Mai Hontama | 27c | 206$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.36 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90bb…531fbacked Mai Hontama | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 199 | 41.7%83 W · 116 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Mai Hontama | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yidi Yang | 32c | 191.33$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yidi Yang | 12c | 188$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked Yidi Yang | 7c | 156.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 332 | 53.6%178 W · 154 L | +21.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…7fdfbacked Mai Hontama | 51c | 153.61$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.79 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -7.2wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Mai Hontama | 74c | 145.07$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…0160backed Yidi Yang | 36c | 130.29$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.43 | 309 | 31.1%96 W · 213 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Mai Hontama | 31c | 130.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.54 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Yidi Yang | 39c | 122.72$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.12 | 3,661 | 45.2%1,654 W · 2,007 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9ec…aa22backed Mai Hontama | 25c | 121.55$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.66 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x18b6…babfbacked Mai Hontama | 73c | 115.73$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.73 | 144 | 59%85 W · 59 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x23a1…2332backed Mai Hontama | 75c | 114.51$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c7…4459backed Yidi Yang | 49c | 109.74$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Mai Hontama | 57c | 108.07$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Mai Hontama | 44c | 104.02$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcae7…f4cdbacked Mai Hontama | 46c | 98.94$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.38 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc57…24aebacked Mai Hontama | 73c | 95.05$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe941…13afbacked Mai Hontama | 73c | 89.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.04 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79e9…80b1backed Mai Hontama | 24c | 80.97$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 332 | 28.3%94 W · 238 L | -12.0wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8328…e5ebbacked Yidi Yang | 26c | 75.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.62 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Mai Hontama | 80c | 74$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.8 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Mai Hontama | 59c | 73$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.16 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Mai Hontama | 34c | 72.55$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.88 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Mai Hontama | 63c | 70.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.13 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed0d…3646backed Mai Hontama | 34c | 64.71$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.71 | 154 | 54.5%84 W · 70 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Mai Hontama | 63c | 62.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.41 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Mai Hontama | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bf3…4f00backed Mai Hontama | 75c | 58$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 435 | 52.9%230 W · 205 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mai Hontama | 71c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.75 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Yidi Yang | 25c | 57.44$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 239 | 42.7%102 W · 137 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbebb…5509backed Mai Hontama | 54c | 56.96$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Mai Hontama | 37c | 54.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 601 | 41.1%247 W · 354 L | -11.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Mai Hontama | 30c | 45.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.77 | 159 | 31.4%50 W · 109 L | +15.3wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Mai Hontama | 43c | 44.42$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.1 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12b5…f3cbbacked Yidi Yang | 37c | 40.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf39…3394backed Mai Hontama | 79c | 35.95$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.55 | 334 | 62.6%209 W · 125 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yidi Yang | 43c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a4…cdb9backed Mai Hontama | 64c | 27.24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 79 | 81%64 W · 15 L | +15.0wins | +0.19per pick | 62cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Yidi Yang | 51c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,102 | 56.5%623 W · 479 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yidi Yang | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a41…0123backed Mai Hontama | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.