TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Carolina A&T Aggies vs. Stony Brook Seawolves

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Stony Brook Seawolvesof North Carolina A&T Aggies, Stony Brook Seawolves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$13,326
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$14,094

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,326 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd218…b5c9backed Stony Brook Seawolves79c3,207$2,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$663.422,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies25c2,478$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.645,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Stony Brook Seawolves73c2,444$1,779 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.373,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies23c2,150$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.6725043.2%108 W · 142 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked North Carolina A&T Aggies20c1,180$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.451,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Stony Brook Seawolves71c1,046$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.984,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24d8…e8a8backed North Carolina A&T Aggies30c1,041$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.9512354.5%67 W · 56 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e7…caa8backed North Carolina A&T Aggies2c599.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21478.8%13 W · 134 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick7cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ae…f107backed North Carolina A&T Aggies28c305.86$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8642327.2%115 W · 308 L-10.9wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stony Brook Seawolves76c297$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.281,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbd0…190abacked North Carolina A&T Aggies21c167.68$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.8450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…e2c7backed Stony Brook Seawolves69c144.94$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.94742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-43%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Stony Brook Seawolves73c138.86$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.084973.5%36 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick71cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Stony Brook Seawolves76c122.87$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.721,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x708d…8a09backed North Carolina A&T Aggies26c100$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261225%3 W · 9 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1607…79bebacked North Carolina A&T Aggies10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103520%7 W · 28 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick12cpaid+43%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf9ef…20ebbacked Stony Brook Seawolves79c94.29$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.6145953.8%247 W · 212 L-1.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Stony Brook Seawolves75c83.1$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1112840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Stony Brook Seawolves71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.751,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Carolina A&T Aggies29c72.31$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.13,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf702…7cc8backed North Carolina A&T Aggies25c57.59$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.617544%77 W · 98 L-13.5wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-25.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xee20…5b37backed North Carolina A&T Aggies25c46.93$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.7319050.5%96 W · 94 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Carolina A&T Aggies35c38.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Stony Brook Seawolves70c35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6561446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Stony Brook Seawolves70c28.57$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.5753646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Stony Brook Seawolves70c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.51,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Stony Brook Seawolves66c17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.783,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.