CS2 · resolved market
CS: Legacy vs G2
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc32199f822f89f0db2b6524668c2883811ba48e8c8b7a8cccece1b81a097bb56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2of Legacy, G2
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,280
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,280 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Legacy | 24c | 9,107$2,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,196.67 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09df…5ca9backed G2 | 76c | 6,272$4,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,505.37 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed G2 | 75c | 1,632$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.02 | 1,259 | 42.5%535 W · 724 L | +20.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed G2 | 75c | 1,489$1,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.13 | 859 | 46.1%396 W · 463 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1d…74ccbacked Legacy | 25c | 1,267$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.67 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed G2 | 76c | 1,000$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 121 | 31.4%38 W · 83 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 25c | 666.66$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.67 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb09…0f04backed Legacy | 25c | 638.32$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.58 | 132 | 23.5%31 W · 101 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa52c…ef80backed Legacy | 8c | 590.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 86 | 36%31 W · 55 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b16…0dc4backed G2 | 76c | 526.32$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.32 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Legacy | 24c | 451.29$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.58 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Legacy | 27c | 400$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215d…ba6dbacked Legacy | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f69…7df1backed G2 | 73c | 356.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.27 | 755 | 50.6%382 W · 373 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2d5…9562backed G2 | 76c | 325$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.2 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked G2 | 74c | 294.62$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.6 | 208 | 55.3%115 W · 93 L | +18.1wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3f…4b40backed G2 | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Legacy | 24c | 248.04$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.53 | 1,146 | 49.4%566 W · 580 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed G2 | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7c…b7dbbacked G2 | 76c | 218.09$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 238 | 46.2%110 W · 128 L | -11.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a0…dab5backed Legacy | 8c | 155.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.44 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed G2 | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 737 | 58.2%429 W · 308 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked G2 | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed G2 | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 334 | 56.6%189 W · 145 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddd…6144backed Legacy | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97ba…2405backed Legacy | 27c | 82.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4a…6e47backed G2 | 76c | 72.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +50.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be2…8fa3backed G2 | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 217 | 62.7%136 W · 81 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked G2 | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2063…1eedbacked Legacy | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a76…51b7backed G2 | 75c | 33.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 242 | 50.8%123 W · 119 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0490…35e4backed G2 | 75c | 27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2702…0495backed G2 | 76c | 24.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 64 | 54.7%35 W · 29 L | -6.7wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xecba…5fb4backed G2 | 79c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.15 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.