Other European Leagues · resolved market
PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc43f69be097be4482227c255c9576046165755f9bc7e266cc746511890560389
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,032
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6982…a165backed Under | 71c | 8,498$5,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 71cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 28c | 2,690$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$759.55 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 22c | 1,500$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.08 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 33c | 1,089$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$362.5 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 29c | 1,025$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 30c | 911.75$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.74 | 715 | 33.8%242 W · 473 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 30c | 699$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.7 | 207 | 42.5%88 W · 119 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 65c | 365.57$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.62 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 36c | 364.49$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.67 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 63c | 348.34$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.4 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 64c | 264.56$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.32 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc10d…e679backed Under | 36c | 202.78$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Over | 64c | 199.98$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…e84dbacked Over | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…123abacked Over | 22c | 151.32$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Under | 76c | 124.97$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.99 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed Over | 65c | 113.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.88 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 33c | 103.66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.17 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 36c | 103.09$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.98 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfddc…931abacked Over | 64c | 103.09$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.98 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 52c | 100$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 64c | 93$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.52 | 1,113 | 51%568 W · 545 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Under | 31c | 89.44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 134 | 32.1%43 W · 91 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +30%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 65c | 84.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.24 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 36c | 83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.12 | 225 | 42.7%96 W · 129 L | -11.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x240c…4c62backed Over | 33c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc4…b2f8backed Over | 66c | 77.45$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed Over | 29c | 73.35$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 104 | 30.8%32 W · 72 L | -12.8wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0f…e047backed Over | 52c | 73.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Under | 37c | 68.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.99 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | +18.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 47c | 63.23$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 36c | 60.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Under | 35c | 57.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 235 | 46.8%110 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 35c | 57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.05 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e5b…bb9abacked Under | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 34c | 41.41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ba6…cd3ebacked Over | 47c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Over | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdae…6ad2backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 220 | 62.3%137 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 244 | 54.9%134 W · 110 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 495 | 28.7%142 W · 353 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf689…3e3fbacked Under | 49c | 26.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.55 | 67 | 52.2%35 W · 32 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 63c | 24.79$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.74 | 536 | 55.2%296 W · 240 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…edb9backed Over | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -7.3wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 54c | 21.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 64c | 21.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe479…70dfbacked Over | 54c | 20.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 68c | 14.98$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.79 | 184 | 50.5%93 W · 91 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 2.5this page
- PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 1.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 3.5Under won
- PEC Zwolle vs. Heracles Almelo: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Heracles Almelo (-1.5)PEC Zwolle won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-1.5)Heracles Almelo won
- Spread: PEC Zwolle (-2.5)Heracles Almelo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.