NBA · resolved market
Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5746fce38f391df64c44d97660bd59d0d667f33b8d8f0222c28c1e9cec0cce6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Grizzlies, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $428,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $432,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $428,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 374,921$181,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181,234.97 | 252 | 48.4%122 W · 130 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Grizzlies | 52c | 130,524$67,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,651.44 | 871 | 44.7%389 W · 482 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 52c | 111,127$57,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53,438.2 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Grizzlies | 51c | 50,000$25,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,500 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 20,657$10,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,026.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Grizzlies | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 596 | 53.4%318 W · 278 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 19,960$10,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,780.39 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x270b…ff56backed Grizzlies | 49c | 16,000$7,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,160 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f9f…6ee5backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 16,000$8,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,160 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 14,141$6,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,787.69 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 9,678$4,936 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,742.33 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Grizzlies | 52c | 8,777$4,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,212.96 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Grizzlies | 51c | 6,858$3,497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360.29 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa25…05e8backed Grizzlies | 53c | 6,000$3,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,820 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 5,853$2,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,751.62 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 4,500$2,205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,205 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 3,333$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599.84 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,019$1,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,449.34 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,749$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.8 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Grizzlies | 51c | 1,520$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.97 | 2,361 | 48.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc96…8a0bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1f…c37dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,328$691 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.44 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 20c | 1,057$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.89 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 446 | 54.3%242 W · 204 L | +21.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 194 | 48.5%94 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15ff…62ccbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 999.98$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.99 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a32…6bbebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 680.38$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.99 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e47…a9a9backed Grizzlies | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 348 | 52.3%182 W · 166 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9e5bbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 550$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 499.96$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.98 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 499.65$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.65 | 235 | 50.2%118 W · 117 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06eb…1a5fbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 390.62$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 101 | 67.3%68 W · 33 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 378.66$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.46 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 252.51$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.9 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 179 | 41.9%75 W · 104 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 249.97$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 851 | 47.5%404 W · 447 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…0742backed Grizzlies | 51c | 230$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21b4…e064backed Grizzlies | 52c | 192.69$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.49 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Grizzlies | 52c | 153$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.32 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…bf14backed Grizzlies | 50c | 130$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.0wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9270…7c9ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 126.53$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…6921backed Grizzlies | 50c | 109.4$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.7 | 36 | 27.8%10 W · 26 L | -7.6wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa61f…7993backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 617 | 47.8%295 W · 322 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 549 | 51.9%285 W · 264 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48f8…9166backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 98.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 171 | 45.6%78 W · 93 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70df…bca8backed Grizzlies | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 327 | 50.2%164 W · 163 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Grizzlies | 52c | 75.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.96 | 624 | 50%312 W · 312 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 64.49$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bdf…9652backed Grizzlies | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 183 | 57.4%105 W · 78 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59eb…fa33backed Grizzlies | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed Grizzlies | 52c | 51.92$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 53cpaid | +87.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Grizzlies | 52c | 51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.48 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffb2…3bb5backed Grizzlies | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc7…31c0backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -5.7wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0c7…5861backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 516 | 51.2%264 W · 252 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb5…ce8ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 217 | 56.7%123 W · 94 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Grizzlies | 53c | 37.83$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 250 | 58.4%146 W · 104 L | +10.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x691b…d267backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc968…c59bbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb966…cac6backed Grizzlies | 51c | 29.41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.41 | 253 | 51%129 W · 124 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1cddbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 26$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.52 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,695 | 44.7%758 W · 937 L | -30.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40a6…a17ebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 121 | 48.8%59 W · 62 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbd…6ffebacked Grizzlies | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 11 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Grizzlies (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Grizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. GrizzliesGrizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 119.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 120.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 231.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 232.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Trail Blazers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.