Cricket · resolved market
The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c1ab1b9219323cc4a249b014572e83d8526c1158ea985c1b6ea579cd527c0a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Southern Braveof Southern Brave, Welsh Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $107,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $127,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x198f…c419backed Welsh Fire | 43c | 22,006$9,358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,358.16 | 165 | 46.1%76 W · 89 L | +6.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e02…d70abacked Southern Brave | 52c | 10,160$5,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,916.09 | 364 | 45.6%166 W · 198 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Southern Brave | 55c | 5,459$3,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.78 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Southern Brave | 57c | 4,857$2,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.45 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x524f…2616backed Southern Brave | 61c | 4,751$2,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,863.69 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c7e…f896backed Southern Brave | 48c | 4,220$2,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,208.16 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0646…ad17backed Welsh Fire | 7c | 1,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 324 | 15.7%51 W · 273 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Welsh Fire | 77c | 1,464$1,131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,131.16 | 186 | 42.5%79 W · 107 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0389…847bbacked Welsh Fire | 63c | 1,300$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$815 | 155 | 58.1%90 W · 65 L | +9.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Welsh Fire | 44c | 1,117$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.28 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | -8.0wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97d1…7d7dbacked Southern Brave | 59c | 1,054$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.53 | 328 | 46.3%152 W · 176 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9104…c269backed Southern Brave | 51c | 1,036$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.83 | 140 | 70.7%99 W · 41 L | +21.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x11eb…50cbbacked Southern Brave | 45c | 939.38$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.41 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Southern Brave | 56c | 892.85$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.85 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…a8b6backed Welsh Fire | 50c | 762.48$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.53 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Welsh Fire | 69c | 724.64$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Southern Brave | 30c | 691.67$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.75 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…73adbacked Southern Brave | 30c | 688.17$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.26 | 261 | 30.7%80 W · 181 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8840…f51abacked Welsh Fire | 2c | 654$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.08 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f76…dcc9backed Southern Brave | 43c | 634.61$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.16 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Southern Brave | 37c | 600$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Welsh Fire | 45c | 599.65$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.31 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -5.8wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Southern Brave | 53c | 507.11$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.15 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa93c…16f3backed Southern Brave | 50c | 502.41$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.02 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Welsh Fire | 43c | 478.37$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.7 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Southern Brave | 57c | 468.07$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.27 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1a…0e6fbacked Welsh Fire | 48c | 399.46$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8a…718dbacked Southern Brave | 56c | 378.53$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.52 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Southern Brave | 35c | 370$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.85 | 180 | 52.8%95 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Southern Brave | 48c | 343.85$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.71 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca6f…1c42backed Southern Brave | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 113 | 6.2%7 W · 106 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 15cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1a45…723fbacked Southern Brave | 33c | 310$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.1 | 62 | 19.4%12 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4de…846bbacked Southern Brave | 11c | 251.77$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.08 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b2…5047backed Southern Brave | 43c | 232.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.05 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Southern Brave | 13c | 223.64$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.51 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3627…09f2backed Welsh Fire | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe5…365cbacked Welsh Fire | 43c | 213.95$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Welsh Fire | 17c | 205.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.87 | 103 | 16.5%17 W · 86 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Welsh Fire | 44c | 199.99$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…b754backed Southern Brave | 31c | 159.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.19 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Welsh Fire | 45c | 158.44$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.91 | 270 | 29.6%80 W · 190 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37ae…3003backed Southern Brave | 48c | 154$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.7 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Southern Brave | 58c | 137.93$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.93 | 176 | 41.5%73 W · 103 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a7…df67backed Southern Brave | 16c | 129.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.19 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Welsh Fire | 63c | 128.51$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.96 | 107 | 70.1%75 W · 32 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf734…5291backed Southern Brave | 36c | 122.31$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.51 | 99 | 27.3%27 W · 72 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd3f…0a1bbacked Southern Brave | 57c | 114.04$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd70c…43eabacked Welsh Fire | 59c | 102.92$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x021a…d3aebacked Southern Brave | 50c | 100.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.23 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Welsh Fire | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 71 | 52.1%37 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0be…8d08backed Welsh Fire | 63c | 99.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 199 | 58.8%117 W · 82 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Welsh Fire | 56c | 99.35$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Southern Brave | 41c | 96.42$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.78 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d33…9d84backed Southern Brave | 15c | 90.59$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.85per pick | 15cpaid | +589%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…c6ddbacked Welsh Fire | 45c | 77.78$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Welsh Fire | 61c | 75.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.97 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f3…6c94backed Welsh Fire | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 360 | 47.5%171 W · 189 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Southern Brave | 43c | 61.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Welsh Fire | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 187 | 57.8%108 W · 79 L | +18.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Southern Brave | 22c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Southern Brave | 44c | 51.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.27 | 198 | 62.6%124 W · 74 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Welsh Fire | 73c | 40$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8d48…197cbacked Welsh Fire | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8d…e726backed Welsh Fire | 75c | 39.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Southern Brave | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…ad2ebacked Southern Brave | 45c | 32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee5…2a3dbacked Southern Brave | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x18ad…4e13backed Welsh Fire | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 58.6%41 W · 29 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked Southern Brave | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 290 | 51.7%150 W · 140 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf768…7831backed Welsh Fire | 77c | 25.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.88 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +27%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…f2ffbacked Welsh Fire | 44c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Southern Brave | 60c | 24.8$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69f1…bd0ebacked Southern Brave | 74c | 16.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.