Tennis · resolved market
ITF Dinard: Marie Vogt vs Antonia Stoyanov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5c4d63d669bc14fa2283e681fc593d74d9ee3832a35f4400c66ff2852ab6758
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Antonia Stoyanovof Marie Vogt, Antonia Stoyanov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,631
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,239
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,631 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Antonia Stoyanov | 79c | 1,280$1,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.52 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…9eaebacked Marie Vogt | 11c | 861$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d6…423dbacked Marie Vogt | 6c | 750$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd241…6c35backed Marie Vogt | 20c | 600$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Marie Vogt | 6c | 486$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Marie Vogt | 12c | 458$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.3 | 300 | 40%120 W · 180 L | +12.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4738…9cfbbacked Marie Vogt | 44c | 414.4$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.33 | 357 | 47.9%171 W · 186 L | +16.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd2…87f4backed Marie Vogt | 9c | 353$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Marie Vogt | 24c | 280$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.4 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6be…f6a3backed Antonia Stoyanov | 19c | 243.12$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.02 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Marie Vogt | 42c | 239.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 487 | 38.4%187 W · 300 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…4b22backed Antonia Stoyanov | 56c | 214.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 354 | 57.3%203 W · 151 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1d…2b19backed Marie Vogt | 17c | 200$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 114 | 43.9%50 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Marie Vogt | 44c | 199.97$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.99 | 250 | 51.2%128 W · 122 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc75…af4dbacked Marie Vogt | 30c | 181$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 188 | 41.5%78 W · 110 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa781…8745backed Antonia Stoyanov | 35c | 167.02$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.56 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marie Vogt | 11c | 159.86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Marie Vogt | 26c | 158.01$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 1,379 | 16.4%226 W · 1,153 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Antonia Stoyanov | 56c | 151.66$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.73 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 56c | 132.15$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.15 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 66c | 129.33$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.97 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Antonia Stoyanov | 66c | 127$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 2,118 | 55.9%1,185 W · 933 L | +40.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Marie Vogt | 65c | 112.85$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.29 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Antonia Stoyanov | 50c | 106.56$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.78 | 368 | 39.1%144 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marie Vogt | 80c | 102.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.08 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Marie Vogt | 73c | 99$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.83 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Antonia Stoyanov | 53c | 81.77$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.1 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.25 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca2…088ebacked Marie Vogt | 43c | 66.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 197 | 44.7%88 W · 109 L | +17.8wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8f79…69cabacked Antonia Stoyanov | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…3f3fbacked Marie Vogt | 74c | 52.7$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 853 | 48.9%417 W · 436 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Marie Vogt | 25c | 45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Antonia Stoyanov | 70c | 40.28$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.94 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xda8a…2dbabacked Marie Vogt | 45c | 37.48$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 102 | 52.9%54 W · 48 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d70…ae13backed Antonia Stoyanov | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.4 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Marie Vogt | 68c | 29.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.39 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marie Vogt | 45c | 24.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Antonia Stoyanov | 69c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.44 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Antonia Stoyanov | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Marie Vogt | 69c | 19.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Antonia Stoyanov | 55c | 18.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.02 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.