TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Contrexeville: Alice Tubello vs Caroline Werner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Alice Tubelloof Alice Tubello, Caroline Werner
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$274,562
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$271,285

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $274,562 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9e86…6dfbbacked Caroline Werner31c182,358$55,772 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55,772.0320444.6%91 W · 113 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Alice Tubello63c78,602$49,519 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,082.751,17846.3%545 W · 633 L+0.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Alice Tubello67c44,824$30,019 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,804.7211,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Alice Tubello79c10,571$8,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,202.498,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Alice Tubello63c6,857$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,537.146,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Alice Tubello61c4,068$2,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,597.394,92138.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L-20.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Alice Tubello46c3,704$1,704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0002,28152%1,187 W · 1,094 L+82.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf874…def4backed Caroline Werner27c3,260$890 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.8512843%55 W · 73 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Caroline Werner21c3,229$678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678.1530440.5%123 W · 181 L-12.3wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Caroline Werner8c1,996$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.661,13250.3%569 W · 563 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Alice Tubello31c1,706$537 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,169.638,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Alice Tubello76c1,427$1,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.844,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Caroline Werner44c1,050$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4621,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Alice Tubello41c896.58$366 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$530.859,28644.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L-245.7wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Alice Tubello68c881.96$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.4582958.1%482 W · 347 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Caroline Werner43c832.81$358 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$358.111,36338.3%522 W · 841 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Alice Tubello63c634$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.581,23446.3%571 W · 663 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Caroline Werner62c548.83$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.6493740.6%380 W · 557 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-24.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alice Tubello77c440.2$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.958,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Alice Tubello67c408.05$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.3472755.6%404 W · 323 L+27.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Caroline Werner37c376$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.1246155.3%255 W · 206 L+19.9wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Alice Tubello56c358.88$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.8860651.8%314 W · 292 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68e1…b2fabacked Caroline Werner37c347$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.3952355.6%291 W · 232 L+26.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2002…a75ebacked Caroline Werner47c328.45$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.6131443.6%137 W · 177 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Alice Tubello70c285.71$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.7143552.9%230 W · 205 L+0.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a3…5b70backed Caroline Werner6c279.7$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.386432.8%21 W · 43 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-20.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed Alice Tubello42c248.74$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.271,88048.5%912 W · 968 L+8.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Alice Tubello55c242.88$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.32,37551.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L+8.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Alice Tubello63c228.35$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.4955149.7%274 W · 277 L-2.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Alice Tubello60c224.87$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.15,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce26…8e06backed Alice Tubello64c200$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7219349.7%96 W · 97 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafaf…1635backed Caroline Werner24c197.33$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.82,04946.8%958 W · 1,091 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-20.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Caroline Werner45c195.66$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.051,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Alice Tubello59c186.44$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.441,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Caroline Werner41c186.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.443,87135%1,353 W · 2,518 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick33cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Caroline Werner9c167.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.976,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Caroline Werner8c159.54$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4918038.3%69 W · 111 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe544…c7afbacked Caroline Werner41c158.79$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.14362.8%27 W · 16 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+15.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2ed3…274cbacked Caroline Werner65c145.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.7178847.5%374 W · 414 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Alice Tubello60c144.44$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.145,41648.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L+14.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c1…cdb6backed Alice Tubello44c143.02$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.091330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick45cpaid-37.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Alice Tubello63c136$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.3227550.2%138 W · 137 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Caroline Werner47c135.11$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.11,68845.4%766 W · 922 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Alice Tubello70c135.06$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.681,95943.7%857 W · 1,102 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d85…dd2bbacked Alice Tubello76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a8d…7688backed Caroline Werner32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4033165%215 W · 116 L+22.6wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Alice Tubello64c107.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.7634957.9%202 W · 147 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90a7…5ac0backed Alice Tubello58c100$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4210448.1%50 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Caroline Werner11c100$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.9568430%205 W · 479 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0936…3833backed Alice Tubello77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.16per pick62cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Alice Tubello61c95.78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.346,44946.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L-42.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Alice Tubello79c91.8$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.431,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Alice Tubello61c87.17$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.926,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747f…f2d7backed Alice Tubello53c86.33$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.5890152.3%471 W · 430 L-2.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9bbe…f8d9backed Caroline Werner42c80.98$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0110233.3%34 W · 68 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Alice Tubello63c79$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2314852%77 W · 71 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x735a…09cebacked Alice Tubello53c73.58$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.584755.3%26 W · 21 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Alice Tubello63c73$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.0129551.5%152 W · 143 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…ed01backed Caroline Werner37c72.38$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7833855%186 W · 152 L+16.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2819…c2fcbacked Alice Tubello42c71.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.4310855.6%60 W · 48 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+22.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Alice Tubello63c68.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3717341%71 W · 102 L-17.4wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Alice Tubello63c68.57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3719744.7%88 W · 109 L-7.1wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x167a…d542backed Alice Tubello76c65$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61,83759.2%1,088 W · 749 L+8.4wins0.00per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4787…db20backed Alice Tubello71c60.85$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.6528264.2%181 W · 101 L+14.5wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked Alice Tubello56c59.91$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.151,62949%798 W · 831 L-51.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc72…cd13backed Alice Tubello44c58$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6197852%509 W · 469 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Caroline Werner58c53.55$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.062,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Caroline Werner36c50$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.192,08252.3%1,088 W · 994 L+19.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Alice Tubello69c48.18$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0587741.3%362 W · 515 L-14.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Alice Tubello67c46.95$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.311,76752.1%920 W · 847 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf970…f7f6backed Caroline Werner45c45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.252,48535.9%893 W · 1,592 L-28.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe519…2f48backed Alice Tubello40c42.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3214435.4%51 W · 93 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Caroline Werner28c41.67$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.842,76647.7%1,318 W · 1,448 L+44.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-18.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfae3…5228backed Alice Tubello73c41.35$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.353360.6%20 W · 13 L-2.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x663e…9cf0backed Caroline Werner49c40.68$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.7925237.3%94 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x74fc…a0bdbacked Alice Tubello63c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.434151.2%21 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid+10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc38…bb0ebacked Alice Tubello56c37.97$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8619349.7%96 W · 97 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Alice Tubello53c37$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.271,17552.9%622 W · 553 L+2.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bef…5f5dbacked Alice Tubello55c35.11$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.7513965.5%91 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3e43…0306backed Caroline Werner50c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.532726.9%88 W · 239 L-43.6wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-41.3%equal weight36-0.12 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Alice Tubello72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.7265259.4%387 W · 265 L+31.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5be5…d48ebacked Alice Tubello64c31.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.252962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0320…3757backed Alice Tubello76c31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.4411365.5%74 W · 39 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9e20…5cf9backed Alice Tubello49c28.84$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8435555.5%197 W · 158 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Caroline Werner44c28.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.575,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc11…c87bbacked Caroline Werner61c27.58$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8224546.5%114 W · 131 L-13.3wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Alice Tubello50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.592352.5%485 W · 438 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ddd…73b2backed Alice Tubello42c24.86$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4225951.7%134 W · 125 L+1.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e9b…f703backed Alice Tubello58c23.98$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.981833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-31.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x092a…8577backed Alice Tubello63c23.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.819943.4%43 W · 56 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.