Cricket · resolved market
Tamil Nadu Premier League: Nellai Royal Kings vs Madurai Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc660882dceafdfe79d54cc4d89b5972d0d0f1b2546be4b303269704e3f683ae7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madurai Panthersof Nellai Royal Kings, Madurai Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,896
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,531
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,896 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Nellai Royal Kings | 63c | 750.88$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 69 | 62.3%43 W · 26 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Nellai Royal Kings | 30c | 640.74$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.55 | 230 | 33.9%78 W · 152 L | -18.8wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Madurai Panthers | 74c | 625.25$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.56 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Nellai Royal Kings | 31c | 498.62$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Nellai Royal Kings | 26c | 472$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.72 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Madurai Panthers | 66c | 222.38$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Madurai Panthers | 36c | 200.87$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.84 | 155 | 50.3%78 W · 77 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Madurai Panthers | 36c | 195$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.01 | 249 | 40.6%101 W · 148 L | -15.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Madurai Panthers | 46c | 184.72$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.49 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Nellai Royal Kings | 46c | 174.91$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Madurai Panthers | 35c | 172$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.18 | 220 | 36.4%80 W · 140 L | -23.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Madurai Panthers | 39c | 164$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.35 | 199 | 50.8%101 W · 98 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Nellai Royal Kings | 23c | 117.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.56 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f4…1008backed Nellai Royal Kings | 56c | 102.07$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.16 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.40per pick | 53cpaid | -80%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe7…0c14backed Nellai Royal Kings | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Madurai Panthers | 73c | 91$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.57 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Madurai Panthers | 44c | 81.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.49 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Nellai Royal Kings | 63c | 69.35$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.69 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…d3b2backed Nellai Royal Kings | 51c | 60.24$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 175 | 35.4%62 W · 113 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe387…1eedbacked Madurai Panthers | 43c | 60$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab6…a485backed Madurai Panthers | 49c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.4 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Nellai Royal Kings | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Madurai Panthers | 48c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.32 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f38…13c8backed Madurai Panthers | 44c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Nellai Royal Kings | 60c | 38.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb0b…e2a3backed Madurai Panthers | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 139 | 21.6%30 W · 109 L | -14.6wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -41%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8379…3c91backed Madurai Panthers | 80c | 26.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc2f…5388backed Madurai Panthers | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Madurai Panthers | 78c | 19.18$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 196 | 54.1%106 W · 90 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.