MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc72f71a99cbd234094245a5b274942317fd48c63bd343f6bb7c4e349b42339b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,653
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,653 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Under | 53c | 8,000$4,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,760 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45c9…414bbacked Over | 47c | 7,265$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.62 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Over | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 308 | 44.2%136 W · 172 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Over | 50c | 1,009$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Under | 51c | 921$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$448.8 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Over | 49c | 679.59$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 50c | 540.27$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.14 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Over | 63c | 500$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Under | 52c | 493.28$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.77 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 464.08$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.59 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 53c | 400$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 47c | 367$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.16 | 496 | 49.8%247 W · 249 L | +11.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a96…998dbacked Under | 35c | 331.97$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.15 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 314.81$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.46 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Under | 53c | 304.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 770 | 50.5%389 W · 381 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 44c | 294.11$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.01 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 67c | 236.68$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.54 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8508…c22fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,000 | 52.4%524 W · 476 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 52c | 194.99$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 140.63$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.32 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ce8…fc49backed Over | 73c | 102.74$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 395 | 53.7%212 W · 183 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Over | 54c | 92.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.53 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Over | 30c | 69.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.84 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked Under | 59c | 65.46$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.74 | 524 | 49%257 W · 267 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Under | 59c | 65.18$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.46 | 418 | 47.6%199 W · 219 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Over | 48c | 63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.24 | 722 | 47.6%344 W · 378 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked Under | 59c | 58.63$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.97 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 47c | 55.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.09 | 290 | 47.6%138 W · 152 L | -11.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb684…343cbacked Under | 52c | 52.81$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.35 | 143 | 53.1%76 W · 67 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Under | 51c | 49.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.15 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Over | 43c | 42.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 44c | 42.17$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.73 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Under | 59c | 38.91$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 946 | 48.9%463 W · 483 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 59c | 38.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Under | 41c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.24 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed Under | 60c | 32.93$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 43c | 30.32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 753 | 44.1%332 W · 421 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x473e…c0f6backed Over | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Under | 36c | 29.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x844d…780bbacked Under | 58c | 24.42$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.34 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Under | 48c | 24$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 499 | 42.9%214 W · 285 L | -31.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf574…de82backed Under | 52c | 21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.08 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Under | 63c | 18.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.95 | 207 | 64.7%134 W · 73 L | +21.2wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2a0e…accebacked Under | 60c | 18.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.33 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5this page
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-3.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Spread: Detroit Tigers (-4.5)Texas Rangers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersDetroit Tigers won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Detroit TigersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.