Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc731b37d4d74bbdee549f12a63acf61934d22c6c33f4d939ddb23cc5b580d564
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Siena Saintsof Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,190
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,190 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Siena Saints | 59c | 1,444$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.03 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 1,360$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.44 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Siena Saints | 60c | 1,070$638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431.9 | 379 | 47.8%181 W · 198 L | -26.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 7c | 835.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 429 | 34.3%147 W · 282 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 421.76$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.92 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Siena Saints | 59c | 411.5$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.37 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 399.99$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3920…23e7backed Siena Saints | 59c | 394.93$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.92 | 195 | 54.9%107 W · 88 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 386.94$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.65 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 293.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.33 | 258 | 37.6%97 W · 161 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 4c | 288$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 848 | 54.5%462 W · 386 L | +32.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 250$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.5 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 241.84$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.15 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 6c | 219.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 6c | 197.09$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.46 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 192.46$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.91 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Siena Saints | 59c | 185.14$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe278…b608backed Siena Saints | 58c | 170.07$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.43 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Siena Saints | 59c | 121.19$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.69 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Siena Saints | 66c | 102.45$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 12c | 99.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 23c | 99.37$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.35 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1bb…6cc9backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 95.86$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.85 | 505 | 48.9%247 W · 258 L | +13.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Siena Saints | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a1…1950backed Siena Saints | 61c | 81.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.7 | 338 | 55%186 W · 152 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12c3…b054backed Siena Saints | 61c | 80.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 135 | 65.9%89 W · 46 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Siena Saints | 68c | 75.52$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 57.67$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 269 | 45.7%123 W · 146 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Siena Saints | 76c | 55.64$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…a7b8backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 32c | 47.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.06 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…dd4fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +26%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 38c | 35.59$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 555 | 32.8%182 W · 373 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf6…2971backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 42c | 35.41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…d6c0backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 39c | 35$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 258 | 29.5%76 W · 182 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 612 | 44.9%275 W · 337 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 41c | 31.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | 42c | 31.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saintsthis page
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints: O/U 131.5Under won
- Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers vs. Siena Saints: O/U 133.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.