CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: GamerLegion vs FlyQuest (BO3)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76dcac271c3a1d2420ffea81fde0d40b21452476bd6377c6efabf24ab585399
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GamerLegionof GamerLegion, FlyQuest
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,515
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,007
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,515 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 23,031$14,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,060.89 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed FlyQuest | 35c | 21,090$7,381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,381.49 | 216 | 45.4%98 W · 118 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f8d…037abacked FlyQuest | 40c | 3,975$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 46cpaid | -69.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked GamerLegion | 68c | 3,827$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,240.13 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d9…4d8bbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 3,622$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,309.59 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed FlyQuest | 35c | 2,958$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035.3 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x988d…9899backed GamerLegion | 64c | 1,713$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$616.51 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FlyQuest | 26c | 1,150$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 5,911 | 37.7%2,228 W · 3,683 L | +74.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed GamerLegion | 64c | 1,119$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.78 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…dbddbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 1,058$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380.8 | 171 | 48%82 W · 89 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc30…c8a5backed FlyQuest | 12c | 843.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 618 | 38.2%236 W · 382 L | -9.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked GamerLegion | 63c | 767$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.56 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed GamerLegion | 62c | 639.48$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.34 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed GamerLegion | 65c | 600$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed GamerLegion | 76c | 513.56$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.92 | 283 | 51.9%147 W · 136 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8465…6bbdbacked FlyQuest | 36c | 500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…d2aebacked GamerLegion | 60c | 500$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 468.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.75 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -6.4wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed FlyQuest | 35c | 430.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.77 | 216 | 39.8%86 W · 130 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed FlyQuest | 9c | 403.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.8 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34a2…abd7backed FlyQuest | 24c | 394$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.56 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FlyQuest | 10c | 389.57$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed GamerLegion | 66c | 353.59$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.95 | 4,261 | 49.2%2,098 W · 2,163 L | +62.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed GamerLegion | 65c | 350$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1939…22e8backed FlyQuest | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 118 | 40.7%48 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0619…901ebacked FlyQuest | 36c | 200$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked GamerLegion | 69c | 195.33$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.01 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed GamerLegion | 69c | 179.1$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.39 | 259 | 41.3%107 W · 152 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed FlyQuest | 48c | 176.17$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.56 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed GamerLegion | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99de…7b9bbacked GamerLegion | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 63cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed FlyQuest | 47c | 105.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 974 | 45.5%443 W · 531 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cbb…fc88backed GamerLegion | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 81 | 37%30 W · 51 L | -6.9wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked GamerLegion | 79c | 78$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 60$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FlyQuest | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed GamerLegion | 66c | 42.42$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 741 | 58%430 W · 311 L | -24.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc2…4bc8backed FlyQuest | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcda0…a51abacked GamerLegion | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…04dabacked GamerLegion | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked FlyQuest | 35c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f22…be14backed GamerLegion | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3819…1774backed GamerLegion | 79c | 36$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…3803backed GamerLegion | 64c | 32.3$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 62cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked GamerLegion | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed GamerLegion | 68c | 29.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 167 | 49.1%82 W · 85 L | -21.1wins | -0.13per pick | 62cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x03f9…1f57backed GamerLegion | 67c | 25$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…2844backed GamerLegion | 65c | 20.63$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 26 | 84.6%22 W · 4 L | +6.0wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd116…be32backed GamerLegion | 64c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.