Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7a39b2459ed44eeda2066351d3205056821dcc0c27affb5f1522efe40623f29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $146,483
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $131,044
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $146,483 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 5c | 24,954$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 2c | 5,901$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4433…9d34backed Yes | 3c | 3,280$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.92 | 788 | 35.3%278 W · 510 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Yes | 3c | 3,170$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.59 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes | 3c | 2,951$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 287 | 16.4%47 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 3c | 2,692$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 5c | 2,665$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.94 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 3c | 2,247$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.16 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41f0…e406backed Yes | 5c | 2,117$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd437…ba37backed Yes | 3c | 2,000$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4372…6a96backed Yes | 3c | 1,900$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 269 | 21.6%58 W · 211 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 5c | 1,848$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.94 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…2bf0backed Yes | 2c | 1,813$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.69 | 221 | 22.2%49 W · 172 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828b…fe53backed Yes | 3c | 1,741$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 74 | 12.2%9 W · 65 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 3c | 1,623$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…59f5backed Yes | 3c | 1,481$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 608 | 21.9%133 W · 475 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 5c | 1,463$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 3c | 1,455$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 3c | 1,200$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4cc…6135backed Yes | 3c | 1,077$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 164 | 28.7%47 W · 117 L | +9.9wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…0443backed Yes | 3c | 966$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes | 3c | 925.44$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.25 | 719 | 39.1%281 W · 438 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 6c | 831.32$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 2c | 826.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe785…1ccdbacked Yes | 3c | 800$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 154 | 20.8%32 W · 122 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 3c | 794.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce2d…c9abbacked Yes | 6c | 760.1$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 17.7%11 W · 51 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa318…77cfbacked Yes | 3c | 759.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 110 | 9.1%10 W · 100 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ab…9fd9backed Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 4.1%3 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40b5…6b5fbacked Yes | 3c | 740.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 200 | 25.5%51 W · 149 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 3c | 688.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77a8…a003backed Yes | 3c | 641.68$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 71 | 18.3%13 W · 58 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Yes | 3c | 629.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b53…ce04backed Yes | 4c | 542.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 106 | 10.4%11 W · 95 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 3c | 518.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 3c | 504.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 190 | 26.3%50 W · 140 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ae…428cbacked Yes | 6c | 460$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.3 | 373 | 20.9%78 W · 295 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes | 5c | 459.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.23 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7843…7f7dbacked Yes | 4c | 454.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Yes | 3c | 400$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 315 | 20.3%64 W · 251 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a6…37b9backed Yes | 6c | 369.53$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 114 | 14.9%17 W · 97 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes | 4c | 362.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 279 | 9.7%27 W · 252 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6d…96ddbacked Yes | 6c | 349.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.64 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -79.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…fcfebacked Yes | 4c | 333.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 96 | 7.3%7 W · 89 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77d3…f740backed Yes | 4c | 319.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd475…825dbacked Yes | 6c | 317.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 14%6 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…21f6backed Yes | 6c | 315.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ed…9c3bbacked Yes | 6c | 308.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 84 | 19%16 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8b…0775backed Yes | 7c | 305.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 33.8%22 W · 43 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe271…40cfbacked Yes | 5c | 212.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…08abbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 3 Egypt?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 0 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 1 Egypt?Yes won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 1 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 2 - 3 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 0 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 1 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 2 Egypt?No won
- Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.