TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Australia 3 - 3 Egypt?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$401,939
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$386,840

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $401,939 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec44…c92bbacked Yes1c79,830$1,000 inLost-$1,0008521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes1c38,142$277 inLost-$277.328,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9689…df62backed Yes0c27,708$109 inLost-$109.3823427.8%65 W · 169 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick25cpaid+42.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x635d…7047backed Yes1c26,662$147 inLost-$147.431756.9%12 W · 163 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick6cpaid+112.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f0…0cf1backed Yes1c10,478$120 inLost-$1201155.2%6 W · 109 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf8a…2d3cbacked Yes1c10,000$70 inLost-$7026216%42 W · 220 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick12cpaid+35%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Yes1c8,395$66 inLost-$65.5778317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes0c4,153$20 inLost-$19.814,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa80e…9fd6backed Yes1c4,028$39 inLost-$3922216.2%36 W · 186 L+6.8wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+59.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes1c4,028$30 inLost-$3050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes0c3,530$13 inLost-$12.653,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes1c3,407$23 inLost-$23.0545627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Yes1c3,000$21 inLost-$2112114%17 W · 104 L+0.5wins0.00per pick14cpaid-20.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9733…22f0backed Yes1c2,518$13 inLost-$13.01270%0 W · 27 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ae0…7483backed Yes1c2,339$16 inLost-$16.37533.8%2 W · 51 L-4.9wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-79.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Yes1c2,000$20 inLost-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes1c1,991$13 inLost-$13.4319125.1%48 W · 143 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes1c1,854$11 inLost-$11.1256410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6628…c77ebacked Yes1c1,771$13 inLost-$133912.8%5 W · 34 L-0.2wins0.00per pick13cpaid+25.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes1c1,667$15 inLost-$156266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Yes1c1,522$11 inLost-$11.0233729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf231…0c9dbacked Yes1c1,500$11 inLost-$10.520%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b57…6359backed Yes1c1,295$10 inLost-$1011411.4%13 W · 101 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-62.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34d5…131ebacked Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$10756.7%5 W · 70 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick9cpaid+20.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Yes1c1,250$10 inLost-$1072424.7%179 W · 545 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a2f…5468backed Yes1c1,000$10 inLost-$101578.9%14 W · 143 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-36.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.