Tennis · resolved market
Pau: Benjamin Bonzi vs Henri Squire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc7afbfd3d2bcfd7aeb90758356e8d651ed6131d7ba0a8d560be952f040c8def1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bonziof Bonzi, Squire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,621
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,120
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,621 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Squire | 14c | 7,845$1,102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.65 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Squire | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 90 | 40%36 W · 54 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Squire | 37c | 668$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.8 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Squire | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 387 | 39.3%152 W · 235 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Bonzi | 72c | 656.4$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x903f…de5fbacked Squire | 35c | 553.37$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.17 | 168 | 30.4%51 W · 117 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Squire | 35c | 483$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.01 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b4…150ebacked Bonzi | 66c | 362.96$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.96 | 149 | 47%70 W · 79 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Squire | 35c | 277.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.95 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Squire | 35c | 223$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.41 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b03…71babacked Bonzi | 71c | 200$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 285 | 52.3%149 W · 136 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Bonzi | 69c | 189.71$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.11 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Squire | 35c | 170.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf46e…db14backed Bonzi | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 188 | 63.8%120 W · 68 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Squire | 23c | 140.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…73f9backed Squire | 18c | 139.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 307 | 41.7%128 W · 179 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Bonzi | 67c | 125.47$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Bonzi | 73c | 113.3$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Bonzi | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Squire | 17c | 95$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Bonzi | 64c | 78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Bonzi | 66c | 75.83$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f17…9ab3backed Bonzi | 70c | 71.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 86 | 66.3%57 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Bonzi | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Squire | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Squire | 30c | 51.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Bonzi | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Squire | 35c | 39.46$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 619 | 53.3%330 W · 289 L | +18.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Squire | 34c | 31.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1793…4ebbbacked Bonzi | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 940 | 60.6%570 W · 370 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x192f…352bbacked Bonzi | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5713…a086backed Bonzi | 62c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.6wins | +0.24per pick | 62cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Squire | 34c | 29.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf69b…d240backed Bonzi | 69c | 29.13$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 169 | 59.2%100 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a95…5f4ebacked Bonzi | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb723…9129backed Bonzi | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7943…29b4backed Bonzi | 64c | 17.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.33 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf864…c210backed Bonzi | 69c | 15.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.94 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.