TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

BNP Paribas Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Shuai Zhang

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Dayana Yastremskaof Dayana Yastremska, Shuai Zhang
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$297,754

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $297,754 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Shuai Zhang16c20,285$3,337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,336.528,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Shuai Zhang37c13,100$4,785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,785.31,41038.4%542 W · 868 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Shuai Zhang53c10,240$5,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,472.2455646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5513…e73cbacked Shuai Zhang0c10,028$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8710%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Dayana Yastremska60c9,959$5,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,974.836,59950.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L+259.7wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Shuai Zhang0c9,000$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ec2…3987backed Shuai Zhang0c6,613$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851942.1%8 W · 11 L+2.2wins+0.12per pick30cpaid-8.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Shuai Zhang12c6,299$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.232,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Shuai Zhang9c5,000$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45011,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d8a…5201backed Dayana Yastremska51c4,388$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,158.31,42128.6%407 W · 1,014 L+4.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbdc3…c0eabacked Shuai Zhang53c4,079$2,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,144.1313363.9%85 W · 48 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick60cpaid-1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe734…4f0cbacked Dayana Yastremska49c3,600$1,764 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,835.972759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+12.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Shuai Zhang51c2,932$1,490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,489.8130542.6%130 W · 175 L-9.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7dca…72a5backed Dayana Yastremska48c2,708$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,408.3320847.1%98 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75a7…2d61backed Shuai Zhang19c2,408$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.8171725.2%181 W · 536 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Shuai Zhang4c2,400$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.258021.9%127 W · 453 L+2.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Shuai Zhang39c1,718$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.882,48945.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L-27.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x707b…69f2backed Dayana Yastremska51c1,580$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780.3931146%143 W · 168 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Shuai Zhang9c1,540$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.816,43954.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L+285.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Shuai Zhang49c1,539$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$754.021,02833.6%345 W · 683 L-3.6wins0.00per pick34cpaid-5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5061…1b03backed Shuai Zhang50c1,478$739 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$738.759452.1%49 W · 45 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xda5f…2e9bbacked Dayana Yastremska50c1,394$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.4244754.4%243 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3032…9b05backed Shuai Zhang52c1,032$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5356934.8%24 W · 45 L-9.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-31.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb546…802cbacked Dayana Yastremska77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2302479.2%19 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.08per pick71cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x522a…0076backed Dayana Yastremska50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5002360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd9d…b730backed Shuai Zhang51c996.35$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.084553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e64…89c3backed Shuai Zhang52c953.87$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011342.5%48 W · 65 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Dayana Yastremska69c811.99$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.6270465.2%459 W · 245 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+3.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Shuai Zhang31c810.81$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25062534.4%215 W · 410 L-20.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4042…0bdabacked Dayana Yastremska50c802$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40198240.1%394 W · 588 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Dayana Yastremska48c773.21$373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.351,80943.8%793 W · 1,016 L-2.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfd6…05cbbacked Shuai Zhang13c747.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.094658.7%27 W · 19 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Shuai Zhang48c715$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.275748.6%368 W · 389 L+16.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa307…8ea3backed Shuai Zhang50c681.85$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.0722747.6%108 W · 119 L+14.9wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+14.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Shuai Zhang51c677.99$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.51338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed Dayana Yastremska50c666$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Dayana Yastremska48c635.45$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$330.4313135.9%47 W · 84 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Dayana Yastremska48c610.17$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.0224637.4%92 W · 154 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aad…20aebacked Shuai Zhang51c586.25$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30052460.9%319 W · 205 L+0.5wins0.00per pick61cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe10c…cad0backed Shuai Zhang3c564.52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Dayana Yastremska46c539.07$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.721,28439.2%503 W · 781 L-12.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b64…a351backed Shuai Zhang51c519.61$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26535268.2%240 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick68cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x51ad…5e56backed Dayana Yastremska50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501,67153%885 W · 786 L+44.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Dayana Yastremska49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2554,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9ccc…e7e8backed Dayana Yastremska50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25026541.9%111 W · 154 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Shuai Zhang33c495.25$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.132,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae9d…d417backed Shuai Zhang50c483.21$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc63d…a59bbacked Shuai Zhang34c466.26$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603836.8%14 W · 24 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed Shuai Zhang54c464.56$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.0537854%204 W · 174 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Shuai Zhang49c451.23$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$221.6246649.8%232 W · 234 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f41…5c9fbacked Dayana Yastremska47c449.98$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.9915848.7%77 W · 81 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb691…b39dbacked Shuai Zhang11c444.01$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9443951.9%228 W · 211 L+17.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Shuai Zhang19c401.23$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.917552.6%92 W · 83 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed Dayana Yastremska48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20859348.9%290 W · 303 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Shuai Zhang25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07fe…0a16backed Shuai Zhang27c379.96$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.2827058.1%157 W · 113 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Shuai Zhang33c376$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.4597046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Dayana Yastremska48c372$178 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.517,72447.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L+41.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Shuai Zhang44c340.51$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.423,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Shuai Zhang50c340$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17043448.4%210 W · 224 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shuai Zhang12c282.2$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.662,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3bbf…f4e6backed Dayana Yastremska50c280$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14014257%81 W · 61 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66df…7ea5backed Shuai Zhang49c254.01$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1259958.6%58 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Dayana Yastremska48c251$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.5238133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe86…6763backed Shuai Zhang15c245.19$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid-15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…ff77backed Dayana Yastremska46c234$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.3696755.3%535 W · 432 L+3.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Shuai Zhang54c231.48$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12524560%147 W · 98 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Shuai Zhang49c229.99$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.71,83153%971 W · 860 L-45.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x430b…6e64backed Dayana Yastremska68c221.32$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.8220447.5%97 W · 107 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Shuai Zhang18c216.67$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3817930.7%55 W · 124 L-7.6wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Dayana Yastremska48c208.32$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.331,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Shuai Zhang50c201.8$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.916146.6%75 W · 86 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fe9…9c50backed Dayana Yastremska51c200.6$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.2925355.7%141 W · 112 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54cf…e36dbacked Shuai Zhang39c200$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+26.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d11…0c08backed Shuai Zhang51c196.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008248.8%40 W · 42 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Dayana Yastremska51c195.16$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.1631643%136 W · 180 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Dayana Yastremska64c194.83$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.2681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Shuai Zhang15c194.13$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.1279951.1%408 W · 391 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c88…5463backed Shuai Zhang53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.14per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Shuai Zhang29c176$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.521,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Shuai Zhang32c174.81$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.071,37916.4%226 W · 1,153 L-108.5wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-49.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Shuai Zhang55c172.21$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.934,93441.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L-77.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Shuai Zhang12c167.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0734950.4%176 W · 173 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecae…b906backed Shuai Zhang62c164.27$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.851,02646.8%480 W · 546 L+14.1wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Shuai Zhang17c164.05$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9443058.6%252 W · 178 L+11.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed Shuai Zhang55c163.64$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$906344.4%28 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Shuai Zhang13c157$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5973745.2%333 W · 404 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Dayana Yastremska47c155$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1581047.9%388 W · 422 L+30.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Shuai Zhang35c152$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.772,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Dayana Yastremska47c149.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.493,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Dayana Yastremska34c149.1$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4514541.4%60 W · 85 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa488…91c3backed Shuai Zhang42c142$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.255352.8%28 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-13.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0e…8763backed Dayana Yastremska50c138.54$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.272240.9%9 W · 13 L-3.4wins-0.16per pick57cpaid-39.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Dayana Yastremska47c129.79$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.341,26529.2%370 W · 895 L-13.3wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad57…b8d3backed Shuai Zhang9c126.35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.372437.5%9 W · 15 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-38.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Shuai Zhang10c122.63$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.793855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Shuai Zhang49c121.2$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.3935040.9%143 W · 207 L+0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Shuai Zhang11c109.79$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128740.2%35 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Shuai Zhang52c104.59$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.784,28840.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L-139.3wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Dayana Yastremska59c101.69$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.693542.9%15 W · 20 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.