Cricket · resolved market
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Nottinghamshire vs Leicestershire
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8155d65c5fc1a9741b01b37dd328934420a2bf5874cf391139ec7e2d1296e29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nottinghamshireof Nottinghamshire, Leicestershire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,659
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,659 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc293…fac3backed Nottinghamshire | 63c | 6,281$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,301.61 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +3.8wins | +0.24per pick | 58cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b7…6008backed Leicestershire | 37c | 4,675$1,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.15 | 333 | 40.2%134 W · 199 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Leicestershire | 46c | 1,345$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.74 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Nottinghamshire | 53c | 1,031$552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.44 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Nottinghamshire | 55c | 1,008$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.89 | 456 | 47.6%217 W · 239 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Leicestershire | 5c | 974.44$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Nottinghamshire | 56c | 694.09$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.17 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f0…9bb3backed Leicestershire | 29c | 550$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…474ebacked Leicestershire | 33c | 415.15$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Leicestershire | 29c | 410$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.9 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Leicestershire | 45c | 406.59$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.31 | 319 | 40.1%128 W · 191 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…c760backed Leicestershire | 44c | 350.45$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Leicestershire | 45c | 229$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 505 | 47.5%240 W · 265 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…97e1backed Leicestershire | 25c | 220$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leicestershire | 39c | 218.62$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.18 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84b1…51b8backed Leicestershire | 33c | 200$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Leicestershire | 6c | 182.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 763 | 51.6%394 W · 369 L | +29.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Leicestershire | 43c | 160.52$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.82 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Leicestershire | 42c | 147.71$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.64 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -5.0wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf95e…1816backed Leicestershire | 43c | 140.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Leicestershire | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Leicestershire | 25c | 110.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2957…b26abacked Leicestershire | 45c | 105.74$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.58 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Nottinghamshire | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0403…e9bfbacked Leicestershire | 45c | 97.78$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4041…60f0backed Leicestershire | 33c | 90.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 31cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb07…e2ccbacked Nottinghamshire | 43c | 76.08$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.59 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Leicestershire | 33c | 68.52$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.61 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Leicestershire | 46c | 65.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Nottinghamshire | 44c | 54.57$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.57 | 209 | 36.8%77 W · 132 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Leicestershire | 36c | 54.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.77 | 159 | 35.2%56 W · 103 L | -11.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Nottinghamshire | 44c | 52.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 258 | 48.4%125 W · 133 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Leicestershire | 26c | 50.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.97 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85c0…d9cfbacked Nottinghamshire | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 228 | 43.9%100 W · 128 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Nottinghamshire | 69c | 26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.06 | 136 | 47.8%65 W · 71 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.