Tennis · resolved market
ITF Cary: Lea Ma vs Clervie Ngounoue
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc83eff30f2ffd71f4f93701d19e7f1602bac38b7f25a557ef9a9bfab2c50fae4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lea Maof Lea Ma, Clervie Ngounoue
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,278
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f71…b2e4backed Clervie Ngounoue | 63c | 9,452$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,999.9 | 226 | 62.8%142 W · 84 L | +15.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa08…d98abacked Clervie Ngounoue | 66c | 3,468$2,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,277.38 | 249 | 62.2%155 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Lea Ma | 38c | 3,219$1,236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,983.36 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf8…9f45backed Clervie Ngounoue | 19c | 1,525$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.8 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5650…8cbabacked Clervie Ngounoue | 59c | 1,022$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 64c | 800$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lea Ma | 35c | 762.13$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.43 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7738…5dbdbacked Lea Ma | 56c | 749.57$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.45 | 479 | 56.6%271 W · 208 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 689.64$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88f2…a6c1backed Clervie Ngounoue | 63c | 681.05$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.18 | 159 | 56%89 W · 70 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lea Ma | 42c | 599.99$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Lea Ma | 27c | 499.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.97 | 1,624 | 49.8%809 W · 815 L | -9.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lea Ma | 42c | 400$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Lea Ma | 35c | 347.06$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 320.53$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.91 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Clervie Ngounoue | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…b898backed Clervie Ngounoue | 58c | 150.38$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.98 | 73 | 60.3%44 W · 29 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 33c | 128$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.24 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Clervie Ngounoue | 61c | 79.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.88 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Clervie Ngounoue | 37c | 78$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lea Ma | 32c | 71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 64c | 50$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Lea Ma | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 72c | 49.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 54c | 44.3$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.84 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Lea Ma | 49c | 39.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.4 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Clervie Ngounoue | 44c | 35.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.68 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Lea Ma | 56c | 33.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.6 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1882…1af4backed Clervie Ngounoue | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.1wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Clervie Ngounoue | 39c | 30.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 442 | 29.6%131 W · 311 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e85…788bbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 55c | 29.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 198 | 45.5%90 W · 108 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Clervie Ngounoue | 64c | 28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.86 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2022…37d9backed Clervie Ngounoue | 40c | 26.63$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.