TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Milwaukee Brewersof Atlanta Braves, Milwaukee Brewers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,396
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$8,334

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,396 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5268…135dbacked Atlanta Braves36c3,336$1,213 inLost-$1,21311,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers64c3,334$2,134 inWon+$1,199.898,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves32c2,121$685 inLost-$684.6312,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Milwaukee Brewers77c2,021$1,556 inWon+$464.762,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers62c683.01$421 inWon+$261.628,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Atlanta Braves18c651$117 inLost-$116.694,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7772…0e56backed Atlanta Braves23c435$100 inLost-$100.0520848.6%101 W · 107 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Milwaukee Brewers30c149.56$45 inWon+$104.693,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves29c130$38 inLost-$37.575,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Atlanta Braves26c96.36$25 inLost-$251070%7 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.32per pick38cpaid+80.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers77c68.25$52 inWon+$15.762,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves54c55.3$30 inLost-$29.593,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a96…b71dbacked Milwaukee Brewers30c55$17 inWon+$38.510742.1%45 W · 62 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Milwaukee Brewers37c50.99$19 inWon+$32.231,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Milwaukee Brewers39c50.23$20 inWon+$30.625,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers46c32.28$15 inWon+$17.334,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Milwaukee Brewers71c28$20 inWon+$8.1212346.3%57 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x97a8…13a5backed Atlanta Braves69c24.64$17 inLost-$171050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-22.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers64c23.5$15 inWon+$8.461,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves70c16.12$11 inLost-$11.284,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Milwaukee Brewers64c15.75$10 inWon+$5.671,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.