MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa64f49b5b33261a21d159fb45470bb5380f87390fe9893b3693ee676b623da9d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,386
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,016
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,386 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 58c | 23,777$13,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,926.21 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 43c | 13,938$5,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,968.4 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 41c | 4,835$1,972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,971.74 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 40c | 3,881$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,568.11 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Over | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.99 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 49c | 1,532$751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.32 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 47c | 1,311$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.2 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 54c | 1,019$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.42 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73e8…cd6fbacked Under | 51c | 975.76$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.12 | 360 | 48.6%175 W · 185 L | -11.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 49c | 783.99$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.16 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 52c | 591$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over | 41c | 552$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.32 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b1…e904backed Over | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 693 | 51.9%360 W · 333 L | +26.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 485.92$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.06 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba7…67a1backed Under | 53c | 422.15$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.41 | 370 | 52.2%193 W · 177 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Over | 46c | 413.71$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.31 | 274 | 52.6%144 W · 130 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked Under | 54c | 388.17$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.56 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Under | 49c | 271$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.21 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 27c | 234.98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.43 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x59b6…307fbacked Under | 55c | 227.36$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.36 | 812 | 57.3%465 W · 347 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6e…4555backed Over | 51c | 211$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.52 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 10c | 189.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.3 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…d984backed Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 383 | 53.8%206 W · 177 L | +16.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf15b…000fbacked Under | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 122 | 53.3%65 W · 57 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 46c | 155.19$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.39 | 1,284 | 49.5%635 W · 649 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 149.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.07 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Over | 48c | 137.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 358 | 49.4%177 W · 181 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda48…5926backed Over | 33c | 125.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 123 | 39%48 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 19c | 121.7$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.12 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Over | 35c | 98.85$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.84 | 1,042 | 49.4%515 W · 527 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 33c | 98.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.46 | 304 | 54.3%165 W · 139 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ac…427fbacked Over | 45c | 97.02$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.66 | 70 | 50%35 W · 35 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 74c | 97$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.22 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 46c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Under | 49c | 90$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.9 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff2a…bfefbacked Over | 41c | 80.49$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 313 | 43.5%136 W · 177 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 49c | 76.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.06 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Over | 42c | 74.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.92 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Over | 27c | 69.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.72 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Over | 32c | 63.08$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.26 | 1,147 | 31.6%362 W · 785 L | -97.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdd6b…e0f3backed Under | 51c | 62$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.38 | 172 | 53.5%92 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd879…2f44backed Over | 34c | 58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.72 | 123 | 46.3%57 W · 66 L | +6.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 48c | 56$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Over | 47c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1,172 | 49.1%575 W · 597 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaf9…3a59backed Under | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Under | 50c | 39.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.9 | 625 | 54.2%339 W · 286 L | +18.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac24…576ebacked Over | 50c | 36.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 229 | 48%110 W · 119 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc203…8beebacked Under | 59c | 26.69$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.94 | 132 | 63.6%84 W · 48 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.74 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta BravesAtlanta Braves won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 10.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 4.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 5.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 6.5Under won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-4.5)Atlanta Braves won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.