TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Atlanta Bravesof Milwaukee Brewers, Atlanta Braves
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$59,507
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,394

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,507 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves48c13,019$6,311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,708.336,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers40c10,294$4,147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,147.2511,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers54c10,000$5,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,399.9961351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Atlanta Braves57c8,772$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,771.9234942.7%149 W · 200 L-19.9wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Milwaukee Brewers48c7,000$3,360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,359.9844851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Atlanta Braves51c5,000$2,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.961,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d16…212ebacked Milwaukee Brewers45c3,582$1,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,612.0620648.1%99 W · 107 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Atlanta Braves65c2,612$1,690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.474,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers53c2,365$1,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.454,38144.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L+77.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Atlanta Braves52c2,045$1,064 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$981.8211256.3%63 W · 49 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+15%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked Milwaukee Brewers49c2,041$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.085050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Milwaukee Brewers48c1,898$919 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$919.374,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Atlanta Braves53c1,887$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$886.894252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Atlanta Braves52c1,509$785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.194,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Milwaukee Brewers53c1,489$795 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$795.388,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Atlanta Braves52c1,323$688 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$634.892046%423 W · 497 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Atlanta Braves52c962$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$461.761,52148.6%739 W · 782 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3920…23e7backed Milwaukee Brewers48c929.74$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45025149.8%125 W · 126 L-4.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Milwaukee Brewers41c918.03$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.588,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Atlanta Braves51c866.33$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.012,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Atlanta Braves64c820.4$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.3212,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Atlanta Braves50c777.96$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.981,83650.8%932 W · 904 L-3.9wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfee8…9197backed Atlanta Braves52c777$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.9622350.7%113 W · 110 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Milwaukee Brewers49c445$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.052,29051%1,167 W · 1,123 L+23.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Milwaukee Brewers49c426.71$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.0943459%256 W · 178 L+19.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+5.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5505…aa44backed Milwaukee Brewers48c324.81$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.8151545.2%233 W · 282 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Milwaukee Brewers48c250$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20e5…118dbacked Atlanta Braves53c250$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.551449.2%253 W · 261 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa057…d092backed Milwaukee Brewers24c242.79$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.922,14439.6%849 W · 1,295 L+0.8wins0.00per pick40cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Milwaukee Brewers47c212.77$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,00052.4%524 W · 476 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2fd6…d7babacked Milwaukee Brewers48c207.02$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002330.4%7 W · 16 L-4.6wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Atlanta Braves52c194.99$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.61,43550%717 W · 718 L+25.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Atlanta Braves52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3165248.3%315 W · 337 L+1.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Atlanta Braves54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1952947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers46c166.92$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.781,57248.3%759 W · 813 L-6.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Atlanta Braves53c162.03$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.376,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Atlanta Braves52c150$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7250647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Milwaukee Brewers46c136.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.642,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Atlanta Braves53c130.96$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9667449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Milwaukee Brewers48c120$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.673849.3%364 W · 374 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Atlanta Braves49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5199447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb155…ca84backed Milwaukee Brewers34c100$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3435248%169 W · 183 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0098…71e0backed Atlanta Braves52c96.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1515252%79 W · 73 L+0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Atlanta Braves58c90.9$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.182,99550.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L-36.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers46c82.1$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.0810,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Atlanta Braves75c78$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.575,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Milwaukee Brewers47c76.6$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3654455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Milwaukee Brewers37c69.34$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.821,14731.6%362 W · 785 L-97.5wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-27.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Atlanta Braves53c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.52,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Milwaukee Brewers48c60$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.81,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Milwaukee Brewers56c55.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.751,70849.9%852 W · 856 L-17.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36f4…0eb2backed Atlanta Braves55c50$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.585949.1%422 W · 437 L-3.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9f9…5273backed Milwaukee Brewers31c47.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8253644.6%239 W · 297 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13d0…4a70backed Milwaukee Brewers53c47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9134639.6%137 W · 209 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed Milwaukee Brewers49c46.5$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.6672154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed Milwaukee Brewers49c46$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.4146854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1fb1…8436backed Milwaukee Brewers47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2027644.9%124 W · 152 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e53…922dbacked Atlanta Braves52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4629747.1%140 W · 157 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Atlanta Braves52c38.46$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.4631250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd879…2f44backed Milwaukee Brewers54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9812346.3%57 W · 66 L+6.9wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd6d…aeb3backed Atlanta Braves52c37$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.761741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Atlanta Braves55c36$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.218347%86 W · 97 L-6.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b2a…0a73backed Atlanta Braves52c34.77$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.6925448.4%123 W · 131 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d2a…7682backed Atlanta Braves58c33.93$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.256955.1%38 W · 31 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers48c32.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.443,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Atlanta Braves51c31.29$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3314546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed Milwaukee Brewers49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.781651.8%423 W · 393 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x522f…1164backed Atlanta Braves50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1539250.3%197 W · 195 L+18.0wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Milwaukee Brewers47c29.12$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.634,16950.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L+92.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda48…5926backed Milwaukee Brewers46c28.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.0412339%48 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Atlanta Braves53c26.42$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.4289950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40d6…9892backed Milwaukee Brewers41c26.31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8634451.5%177 W · 167 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e2f…7212backed Milwaukee Brewers47c25.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.87862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers45c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.259,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Atlanta Braves63c24.08$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.9158054.5%316 W · 264 L+17.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Milwaukee Brewers50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121,85153.1%982 W · 869 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Atlanta Braves70c23.18$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.893,45751.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L+108.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Atlanta Braves52c22.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6634846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcc69…4724backed Atlanta Braves53c22$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.34922.2%2 W · 7 L-3.4wins-0.38per pick60cpaid-62.2%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x250f…4fc6backed Milwaukee Brewers46c22$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1213025.4%33 W · 97 L-17.3wins-0.13per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xab41…822dbacked Atlanta Braves53c21.72$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.217955.7%44 W · 35 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers51c20.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.22,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd78e…6421backed Atlanta Braves52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.623750.6%120 W · 117 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.