Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Merrimack College Warriors vs. Siena Saints
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8c15edd8c8faa4caeac3925e67ae6efe10b3fc8de0864736354706ecf0fd581
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Merrimack College Warriorsof Merrimack College Warriors, Siena Saints
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,467
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,467 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Siena Saints | 21c | 3,182$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.89 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked Siena Saints | 9c | 2,570$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.65 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Siena Saints | 44c | 2,380$1,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.12 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 31c | 2,303$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.31 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Merrimack College Warriors | 31c | 1,869$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,289.61 | 397 | 44.8%178 W · 219 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Siena Saints | 69c | 1,500$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 64cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Siena Saints | 69c | 1,164$803 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$803.13 | 605 | 48.9%296 W · 309 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 35c | 946.18$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.21 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Merrimack College Warriors | 31c | 716.81$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.61 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Siena Saints | 31c | 534.99$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.44 | 735 | 49.1%361 W · 374 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 454.47$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.41 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Siena Saints | 66c | 393.57$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.38 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Siena Saints | 8c | 360.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Siena Saints | 24c | 316.56$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.88 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Merrimack College Warriors | 35c | 300$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Siena Saints | 20c | 227.8$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Siena Saints | 56c | 198.45$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.94 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Merrimack College Warriors | 70c | 143.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Siena Saints | 40c | 139.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.78 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Siena Saints | 10c | 139.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Merrimack College Warriors | 35c | 132.8$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.32 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Merrimack College Warriors | 37c | 129.35$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Siena Saints | 26c | 124$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.89 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Merrimack College Warriors | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a20…8248backed Siena Saints | 68c | 88$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.84 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x954b…eb22backed Merrimack College Warriors | 32c | 80$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.4 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90e4…e026backed Siena Saints | 14c | 73.93$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Siena Saints | 28c | 64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe32c…db1bbacked Siena Saints | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 44 | 6.8%3 W · 41 L | -13.8wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 28-0.20 edge/pick |
| 0xf43d…1e75backed Siena Saints | 55c | 58.44$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 69 | 31.9%22 W · 47 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f4…5bc0backed Siena Saints | 67c | 56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.52 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ab…361bbacked Siena Saints | 35c | 53.53$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -17.7wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Siena Saints | 28c | 48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 614 | 46.1%283 W · 331 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07bc…393abacked Merrimack College Warriors | 31c | 46.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 83 | 51.8%43 W · 40 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61bb…aca7backed Siena Saints | 66c | 45.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5f…4884backed Siena Saints | 35c | 41.26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ec8…397bbacked Siena Saints | 67c | 41$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.33 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Siena Saints | 66c | 35.99$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.74 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648c…c77ebacked Siena Saints | 53c | 34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00fe…eff7backed Siena Saints | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -9.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7871…77c6backed Merrimack College Warriors | 60c | 30.42$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Siena Saints | 66c | 30.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90dd…c435backed Merrimack College Warriors | 68c | 24$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.59 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3759…6b3bbacked Merrimack College Warriors | 67c | 23.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a2…0d1cbacked Siena Saints | 66c | 20.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.40per pick | 55cpaid | -72%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf2…8363backed Merrimack College Warriors | 76c | 19.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Siena Saints | 64c | 19.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 45 | 17.8%8 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Siena Saints | 64c | 19.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 573 | 35.6%204 W · 369 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Siena Saints | 73c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 113 | 46.9%53 W · 60 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Siena Saintsthis page
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Siena Saints: O/U 132.5Under won
- Merrimack College Warriors vs. Siena Saints: O/U 133.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.