Tennis · resolved market
Liege: Leo Raquillet vs Lorenzo Giustino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc8fe4fc5cd1512fa5d663b20ec63f4d0dd943450b060b656f1c2437360c650ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Giustinoof Leo Raquillet, Lorenzo Giustino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $70,256
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,796
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $70,256 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7d6d…2654backed Leo Raquillet | 32c | 47,288$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 30,244$20,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,373.8 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lorenzo Giustino | 67c | 9,243$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,007.76 | 4,882 | 38.8%1,892 W · 2,990 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 68c | 4,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 530 | 43%228 W · 302 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 1,901$1,302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$598.58 | 3,541 | 42.4%1,501 W · 2,040 L | -44.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12f…b30fbacked Leo Raquillet | 27c | 1,481$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 691 | 41.1%284 W · 407 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Leo Raquillet | 26c | 807.38$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.92 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7dc6…4b55backed Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 675.68$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.68 | 64 | 62.5%40 W · 24 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e74…b3a7backed Leo Raquillet | 42c | 599.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Leo Raquillet | 20c | 530.04$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.63 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 63c | 358.88$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.8 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Leo Raquillet | 13c | 356.23$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.31 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3171…b991backed Leo Raquillet | 31c | 318$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 51.9%174 W · 161 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 67c | 247.22$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.1 | 5,377 | 48.7%2,617 W · 2,760 L | +16.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Leo Raquillet | 16c | 229.99$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 668 | 30.5%204 W · 464 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Leo Raquillet | 14c | 225.16$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.59 | 6,685 | 36.9%2,466 W · 4,219 L | -96.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.1 | 1,626 | 52.7%857 W · 769 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 64c | 193$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.61 | 1,101 | 45.1%497 W · 604 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Lorenzo Giustino | 66c | 178.64$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.53 | 5,288 | 56.5%2,989 W · 2,299 L | +231.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lorenzo Giustino | 72c | 164.49$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.36 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Lorenzo Giustino | 76c | 145.54$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.54 | 1,178 | 52.4%617 W · 561 L | +27.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 68c | 140.92$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.58 | 6,419 | 46.4%2,978 W · 3,441 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Leo Raquillet | 28c | 137.93$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.62 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 131$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 1,958 | 43.7%856 W · 1,102 L | -21.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lorenzo Giustino | 71c | 126.33$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.94 | 3,631 | 54.9%1,995 W · 1,636 L | +110.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 118.84$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.44 | 6,596 | 50.7%3,341 W · 3,255 L | +259.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Leo Raquillet | 18c | 115.05$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 68c | 114.92$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.77 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Leo Raquillet | 20c | 113.47$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.25 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28be…6dbebacked Leo Raquillet | 29c | 104.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 36.6%86 W · 149 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Lorenzo Giustino | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Leo Raquillet | 28c | 87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leo Raquillet | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.16 | 3,809 | 45.4%1,730 W · 2,079 L | -35.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed Leo Raquillet | 25c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 2,111 | 56.1%1,184 W · 927 L | +42.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 65.27$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.53 | 1,830 | 57.7%1,056 W · 774 L | +105.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe16…60bebacked Lorenzo Giustino | 62c | 64.52$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.52 | 71 | 64.8%46 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Leo Raquillet | 28c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Lorenzo Giustino | 69c | 48.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.15 | 356 | 49.4%176 W · 180 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 45.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.92 | 1,061 | 57.4%609 W · 452 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Leo Raquillet | 36c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 1,828 | 53.1%971 W · 857 L | -44.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Lorenzo Giustino | 75c | 22.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.71 | 1,010 | 39.2%396 W · 614 L | -23.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Lorenzo Giustino | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 547 | 46.8%256 W · 291 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…71c9backed Lorenzo Giustino | 78c | 18.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.11 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Giustino | 74c | 13.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.57 | 4,159 | 52.8%2,198 W · 1,961 L | +66.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.