Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Drake Bulldogs vs. Indiana State Sycamores
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9278ad6f9c2e99bc6e4af7845b09c28e6f6169eafdde2e508a2bc235618d6eb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Drake Bulldogsof Drake Bulldogs, Indiana State Sycamores
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,365
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,434
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,365 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x958a…c897backed Drake Bulldogs | 59c | 1,694$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.87 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Drake Bulldogs | 41c | 1,500$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$889.99 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e82…7670backed Indiana State Sycamores | 59c | 1,193$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 186 | 50%93 W · 93 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Indiana State Sycamores | 48c | 1,156$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.2 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Indiana State Sycamores | 41c | 606.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Indiana State Sycamores | 37c | 492.28$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.24 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Indiana State Sycamores | 42c | 481.86$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.86 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Drake Bulldogs | 68c | 437.91$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 58c | 375.46$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.49 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Drake Bulldogs | 40c | 351.07$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.26 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Drake Bulldogs | 39c | 319.84$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.1 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Drake Bulldogs | 63c | 289.71$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.95 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Drake Bulldogs | 42c | 237.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.87 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Drake Bulldogs | 60c | 200$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.29 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Indiana State Sycamores | 41c | 199.01$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.06 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Indiana State Sycamores | 40c | 188.82$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.24 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Drake Bulldogs | 62c | 187.02$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Drake Bulldogs | 59c | 170.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.57 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Drake Bulldogs | 60c | 138.44$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.06 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Drake Bulldogs | 42c | 121.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Drake Bulldogs | 54c | 108.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Drake Bulldogs | 70c | 105.17$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Indiana State Sycamores | 43c | 63$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Indiana State Sycamores | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Indiana State Sycamores | 42c | 54.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Drake Bulldogs | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Drake Bulldogs | 67c | 38.52$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Drake Bulldogs | 76c | 34.57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2b…3489backed Indiana State Sycamores | 54c | 33.33$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 62 | 43.5%27 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e2…89a5backed Drake Bulldogs | 57c | 19.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Drake Bulldogs vs. Indiana State Sycamoresthis page
- Spread: Indiana State Sycamores (-2.5)Drake Bulldogs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.