Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9599058713f38d3c0e926fd1ca171d6baccf7a59fe8615e6b9735bed173ced4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Lynxof Inner Circle, Team Lynx
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,370
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Inner Circle | 54c | 7,567$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,070.78 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team Lynx | 43c | 6,744$2,908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,836.45 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…0a00backed Team Lynx | 46c | 3,072$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,661.57 | 91 | 58.2%53 W · 38 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Lynx | 50c | 2,073$1,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.35 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Inner Circle | 54c | 1,800$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$966.62 | 1,164 | 47.2%549 W · 615 L | -29.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa35c…a113backed Inner Circle | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 617 | 45.7%282 W · 335 L | -12.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed Inner Circle | 48c | 1,120$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.36 | 446 | 45.7%204 W · 242 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39a7…bcb7backed Team Lynx | 53c | 990.57$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.57 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Inner Circle | 51c | 985.07$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.89 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Inner Circle | 57c | 890.69$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.33 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 630$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.1 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Inner Circle | 54c | 599.87$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.5 | 745 | 49.3%367 W · 378 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Lynx | 45c | 583.52$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.24 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e44…21bcbacked Inner Circle | 70c | 582.63$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.73 | 798 | 59%471 W · 327 L | +16.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6cc…038fbacked Inner Circle | 36c | 544.62$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44f1…fa00backed Team Lynx | 41c | 532.68$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.68 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Inner Circle | 44c | 431.09$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.61 | 772 | 56.5%436 W · 336 L | +30.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac39…95c7backed Team Lynx | 31c | 407.12$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.91 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f41…b387backed Inner Circle | 22c | 400$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Lynx | 57c | 369.38$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.44 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team Lynx | 66c | 350$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.52 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Team Lynx | 54c | 339.13$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.26 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Lynx | 51c | 322.83$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.25 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Inner Circle | 53c | 320$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.47 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Inner Circle | 53c | 252.55$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.67 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Inner Circle | 52c | 252$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.98 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48ba…d81dbacked Inner Circle | 58c | 251.93$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.03 | 563 | 43.9%247 W · 316 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Lynx | 53c | 251.89$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.89 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 208.53$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed Team Lynx | 76c | 192$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 294 | 66%194 W · 100 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Team Lynx | 44c | 178$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.8 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked Inner Circle | 50c | 172.98$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.49 | 65 | 60%39 W · 26 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc9…e4afbacked Inner Circle | 55c | 112.73$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Inner Circle | 64c | 111$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.04 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155b…d7babacked Inner Circle | 35c | 104.33$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.38 | 149 | 62.4%93 W · 56 L | +21.8wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Inner Circle | 55c | 104.2$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…7f73backed Team Lynx | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 261 | 54.8%143 W · 118 L | +11.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c67…a479backed Team Lynx | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 99 | 56.6%56 W · 43 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae8e…08f9backed Team Lynx | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 90 | 55.6%50 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf34b…bcb3backed Team Lynx | 52c | 97.83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.96 | 583 | 56.8%331 W · 252 L | +28.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Inner Circle | 44c | 94.99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.8 | 198 | 57.1%113 W · 85 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 93$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 562 | 43.2%243 W · 319 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ac…7b70backed Team Lynx | 50c | 91$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -56.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…59e1backed Team Lynx | 46c | 86.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.81 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team Lynx | 64c | 83.33$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.22 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked Inner Circle | 27c | 76.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.89 | 155 | 36.1%56 W · 99 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21e0…369dbacked Team Lynx | 30c | 71.67$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b9…0a9bbacked Team Lynx | 52c | 70.23$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Team Lynx | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.8 | 504 | 44%222 W · 282 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Team Lynx | 49c | 55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 93 | 60.2%56 W · 37 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f42…1f72backed Inner Circle | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 318 | 65.1%207 W · 111 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3e…a78abacked Team Lynx | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 412 | 44.7%184 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bc…6c1bbacked Team Lynx | 45c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x81be…a441backed Team Lynx | 45c | 49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f08…e919backed Team Lynx | 36c | 47.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 308 | 34.1%105 W · 203 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x127e…cca1backed Inner Circle | 58c | 47.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.26 | 461 | 50.8%234 W · 227 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38c5…0f5cbacked Team Lynx | 42c | 46.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.94 | 582 | 50.5%294 W · 288 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6161…c834backed Inner Circle | 51c | 45.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.07 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Team Lynx | 55c | 44.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.29 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Inner Circle | 63c | 40$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Team Lynx | 33c | 38.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.87 | 213 | 44.1%94 W · 119 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Inner Circle | 35c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2661…6c28backed Team Lynx | 55c | 29.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.15 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed Inner Circle | 46c | 29.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.45 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Inner Circle | 50c | 25.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 173 | 38.7%67 W · 106 L | -9.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Inner Circle | 62c | 21.4$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 122 | 63.9%78 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fac…b3b4backed Team Lynx | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx - Game 1 WinnerInner Circle won
- Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Team Lynx - Game 2 WinnerTeam Lynx won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.