Tennis · resolved market
ITF Los Angeles: Maria Aytoyan vs Monika Ekstrand
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc96c9f8bb495c24ef3da1253cd4ff758b42cfc213531370ae9dd1226564ec3da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Monika Ekstrandof Maria Aytoyan, Monika Ekstrand
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Monika Ekstrand | 63c | 12,501$7,826 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,675.48 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…e403backed Maria Aytoyan | 66c | 5,594$3,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,691.1 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6200…7d23backed Maria Aytoyan | 15c | 4,165$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.11 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Maria Aytoyan | 13c | 2,041$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.56 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Maria Aytoyan | 29c | 1,111$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.44 | 1,822 | 41%747 W · 1,075 L | -30.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Monika Ekstrand | 61c | 456.45$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.81 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b39…7fbcbacked Maria Aytoyan | 25c | 450$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.64 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Monika Ekstrand | 61c | 342.83$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.65 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bec…7800backed Monika Ekstrand | 80c | 270.64$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.64 | 277 | 53.4%148 W · 129 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Monika Ekstrand | 60c | 235.9$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.44 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07cc…2488backed Monika Ekstrand | 47c | 223.03$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.26 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x890a…7623backed Monika Ekstrand | 75c | 200$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 249 | 75.5%188 W · 61 L | +10.3wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Maria Aytoyan | 25c | 166.71$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.68 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Maria Aytoyan | 19c | 150.81$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Maria Aytoyan | 47c | 148.94$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.28 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked Maria Aytoyan | 28c | 142.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.35 | 896 | 63.7%571 W · 325 L | +63.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ed…e29cbacked Maria Aytoyan | 76c | 113.02$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +413.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maria Aytoyan | 48c | 71.45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.21 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8649…ba57backed Monika Ekstrand | 42c | 70.02$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 796 | 46%366 W · 430 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Maria Aytoyan | 25c | 52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…86dbbacked Maria Aytoyan | 74c | 51.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.85 | 163 | 62%101 W · 62 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Monika Ekstrand | 67c | 50.59$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.53 | 580 | 48.4%281 W · 299 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Maria Aytoyan | 31c | 46.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xbe29…eb76backed Monika Ekstrand | 45c | 43.49$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.71 | 183 | 30.1%55 W · 128 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Maria Aytoyan | 51c | 40.17$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Monika Ekstrand | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf08…12a3backed Monika Ekstrand | 78c | 38.46$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.46 | 235 | 51.9%122 W · 113 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monika Ekstrand | 62c | 19.96$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Monika Ekstrand | 69c | 17.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Monika Ekstrand | 62c | 17.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Monika Ekstrand | 73c | 17.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.