Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 130.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9aa4c44aa12aa5511bd932d9eb0c4331ecd29bceb039c5cd624d26a354c2dfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $581,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $596,478
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $581,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 536,975$290,781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290,780.97 | 359 | 45.1%162 W · 197 L | -24.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 45c | 200,000$90,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110,000 | 896 | 45.9%411 W · 485 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Under | 45c | 99,078$44,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,493.08 | 691 | 42.8%296 W · 395 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Under | 47c | 60,000$28,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,000 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 48c | 60,000$28,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,450 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 48c | 30,000$14,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,600 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 20,530$9,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,847.85 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 47c | 19,000$8,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,150 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Under | 45c | 18,888$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,388.4 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4366…c73ebacked Under | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 73 | 53.4%39 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Under | 47c | 12,222$5,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,477.66 | 131 | 54.2%71 W · 60 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Under | 49c | 11,880$5,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,093.54 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 5,112$2,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,687.36 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,599.99 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Under | 48c | 3,296$1,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.72 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 48c | 2,562$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.69 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Under | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b9…4ca6backed Under | 45c | 1,150$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d2…92c8backed Under | 48c | 1,005$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.75 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +235.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 270 | 45.2%122 W · 148 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 49c | 367.35$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.35 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a8…1b66backed Under | 49c | 258.31$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.79 | 210 | 50%105 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 49c | 124.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d48…48e0backed Under | 46c | 85.9$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.39 | 180 | 46.7%84 W · 96 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aea…5590backed Under | 46c | 51.01$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.3 | 158 | 44.3%70 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…5dfabacked Under | 48c | 45.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.62 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d85…2560backed Under | 46c | 41.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.21 | 186 | 46.2%86 W · 100 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…618ebacked Over | 31c | 40.58$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.55 | 279 | 55.2%154 W · 125 L | +22.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Over | 31c | 40.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2db9…846cbacked Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdca6…9a97backed Under | 46c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7dec…61b7backed Under | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Under | 48c | 27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.04 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5554…de7ebacked Under | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08b6…7db6backed Under | 48c | 24.98$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.99 | 122 | 45.9%56 W · 66 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 54c | 23.77$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.99 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 44c | 23.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 130.5this page
- Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont CatamountsVermont Catamounts won
- Maine Black Bears vs. Vermont Catamounts: O/U 129.5Under won
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-12.5)Maine Black Bears won
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-13.5)Maine Black Bears won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.