Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca7588cdeaa2647aca9253b549f1560da3e6397a62e460d570418255b156d49b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,753
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,753 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 97 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3024…0737backed No | 47c | 441.59$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x855e…de25backed No | 78c | 403.24$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.2 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -7.7wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6973…b296backed Yes | 69c | 382.99$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.93 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x938d…8674backed Yes | 16c | 372.48$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.03 | 467 | 33.4%156 W · 311 L | +21.4wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 33c | 372.05$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.13 | 841 | 24%202 W · 639 L | -35.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 69c | 367.43$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.06 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed No | 68c | 366.86$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.42 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3c95backed Yes | 35c | 339.51$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.87 | 428 | 57%244 W · 184 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2822…b098backed No | 10c | 306.55$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…bc23backed No | 66c | 302.39$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 811 | 65.8%534 W · 277 L | -37.1wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4829…97ebbacked Yes | 33c | 280.09$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.74 | 399 | 51.1%204 W · 195 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…198dbacked No | 41c | 247.62$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.93 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd75…d07ebacked Yes | 40c | 243.29$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.98 | 154 | 33.8%52 W · 102 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b07…e4c5backed Yes | 33c | 222.25$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.34 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 54c | 215.24$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.81 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked Yes | 53c | 202.29$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f9…e901backed No | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 54 | 13%7 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…e889backed Yes | 21c | 200$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158 | 165 | 29.1%48 W · 117 L | +12.9wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x51bb…a919backed No | 68c | 197.86$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.47 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…443bbacked Yes | 47c | 171.78$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.29 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d39…099abacked Yes | 37c | 171.64$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.34 | 297 | 51.9%154 W · 143 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd38…ddadbacked Yes | 25c | 156.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 254 | 49.2%125 W · 129 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 28c | 144.64$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.74 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 31c | 143.62$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.57 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 39c | 142.93$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.54 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5652…2aa5backed No | 74c | 135.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.05 | 161 | 57.1%92 W · 69 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 73c | 126.89$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.76 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86d3…da78backed Yes | 39c | 124.14$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.47 | 265 | 33.2%88 W · 177 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 54c | 121.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.86 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x5b11…2976backed Yes | 41c | 113.77$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.7 | 499 | 41.7%208 W · 291 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae68…064abacked No | 62c | 103.56$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.86 | 2,555 | 63.8%1,631 W · 924 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92d4…4cf3backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf899…0759backed Yes | 33c | 97.78$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.7 | 267 | 38.6%103 W · 164 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc732…45b3backed Yes | 31c | 89.11$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.17 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x667e…7231backed No | 76c | 87.54$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2671…a5fabacked No | 66c | 79.66$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.38 | 190 | 59.5%113 W · 77 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6de9…a8e5backed Yes | 80c | 77.42$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.48 | 201 | 61.7%124 W · 77 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 59c | 76.02$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.18 | 7,148 | 9.3%666 W · 6,482 L | -1,105.8wins | -0.15per pick | 25cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x2974…e9d8backed Yes | 35c | 75.65$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.9 | 233 | 23.6%55 W · 178 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75f3…fe29backed No | 20c | 73.6$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 521 | 55.3%288 W · 233 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x531b…da26backed Yes | 32c | 68.37$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.25 | 127 | 33.1%42 W · 85 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 34c | 64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf694…24e3backed Yes | 34c | 61.54$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 111 | 29.7%33 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe217…5c75backed Yes | 34c | 60.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.75 | 160 | 30%48 W · 112 L | -15.2wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1b78…e589backed Yes | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 379 | 42.5%161 W · 218 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda63…8969backed Yes | 32c | 58.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.61 | 99 | 29.3%29 W · 70 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…3b5dbacked Yes | 27c | 58.14$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.61 | 137 | 38.7%53 W · 84 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 62c | 55.26$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.26 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 65c | 52.85$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…74d3backed Yes | 48c | 52.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 669 | 44.7%299 W · 370 L | +3.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9387…d659backed Yes | 31c | 51.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 271 | 30.6%83 W · 188 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2189…13f1backed No | 71c | 51.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -4.4wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa28…c37ebacked Yes | 35c | 50.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.71 | 3,939 | 35.3%1,392 W · 2,547 L | +35.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed No | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 278 | 51.8%144 W · 134 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e3…f004backed Yes | 31c | 50$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 277 | 32.5%90 W · 187 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea6b…5ac2backed Yes | 38c | 49.12$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.36 | 534 | 37.3%199 W · 335 L | -29.9wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 39c | 48.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.29 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01a6…59b0backed No | 64c | 47.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.23 | 1,679 | 61.7%1,036 W · 643 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…f0bebacked No | 65c | 46.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.95 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 50c | 44.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd136…ef46backed Yes | 45c | 42.04$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 76 | 65.8%50 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36c2…2b8cbacked No | 72c | 41.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.02 | 707 | 70.2%496 W · 211 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x306d…7a38backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 667 | 35.4%236 W · 431 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 1,275 | 34%433 W · 842 L | +46.2wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9502…ba22backed Yes | 39c | 39.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa84…e985backed Yes | 37c | 38.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.41 | 407 | 39.3%160 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked No | 67c | 36.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x592e…2030backed Yes | 53c | 35.86$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce07…5c3cbacked No | 60c | 33.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 310 | 62.6%194 W · 116 L | +38.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x85e8…9301backed No | 79c | 33.57$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 113 | 62.8%71 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed No | 48c | 33.4$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 981 | 60.6%594 W · 387 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 67c | 32.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 71c | 31.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.27 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb798…37cabacked No | 63c | 31.21$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…066bbacked Yes | 36c | 31.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.56per pick | 44cpaid | +133.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb54…d452backed No | 66c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 4,525 | 65.6%2,967 W · 1,558 L | -134.0wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe422…4d64backed No | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,065 | 43.6%900 W · 1,165 L | -11.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…c70bbacked No | 72c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 549 | 66.7%366 W · 183 L | -27.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe6…1bfabacked No | 64c | 29.9$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.27 | 117 | 41%48 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -38%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2869…527dbacked No | 70c | 29.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.56 | 937 | 34.9%327 W · 610 L | -203.5wins | -0.22per pick | 57cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xcbc1…99e6backed No | 65c | 28.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.12per pick | 69cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 61c | 28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.08 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…c34fbacked No | 72c | 27.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 129 | 62.8%81 W · 48 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…4408backed No | 63c | 26.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 335 | 67.5%226 W · 109 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 69c | 21.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf528…7e5bbacked No | 71c | 20.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,313 | 76.1%999 W · 314 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 74cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a06…15a9backed No | 61c | 20.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 567 | 21.3%121 W · 446 L | -25.2wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e6…7a4dbacked No | 70c | 19.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,699 | 60.6%1,029 W · 670 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed No | 69c | 18.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb732…6900backed No | 69c | 17.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 412 | 58.3%240 W · 172 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa98a…a5a8backed No | 68c | 17.24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 2,015 | 67.7%1,365 W · 650 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 66c | 16.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c99…3ef0backed No | 69c | 15.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63ac…3fc9backed No | 70c | 14.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1c1…1bebbacked No | 80c | 14.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 276 | 48.6%134 W · 142 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 14°C on April 26?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 15°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 16°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 17°C on April 26?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C or higher on April 26?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.