Asian League · resolved market
Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8a9fcafecaba8e133605cdfd0837895b101bfc4a91b19887cd2c08c7e8ee79
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,019
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 43c | 6,227$2,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,708.11 | 126 | 39.7%50 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 57c | 4,176$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,776.84 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 56c | 1,963$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.54 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fba…fd69backed Under | 15c | 1,471$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 15cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under | 53c | 800$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427 | 117 | 31.6%37 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -21%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc466…3f77backed Under | 63c | 728.2$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…af29backed Over | 38c | 594.5$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.38 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +6.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Under | 57c | 511.18$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd58…f7b5backed Under | 12c | 495$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 466.83$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.42 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 45c | 461.5$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.87 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 58c | 454.67$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.46 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2983…4eb2backed Under | 54c | 367.25$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Under | 59c | 339$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 49c | 339$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.71 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 62c | 329.12$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.7 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 59c | 310.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.76 | 363 | 52.9%192 W · 171 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 44c | 309$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.57 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 14c | 271.72$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.68 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 61c | 260.48$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.63 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7079…58e8backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.41 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd3a…91fdbacked Under | 58c | 193.24$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.08 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 53c | 117.87$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.51 | 130 | 48.5%63 W · 67 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 48c | 116.98$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.15 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Under | 46c | 90.9$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.81 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79fd…78cebacked Under | 55c | 72.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.66 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 56c | 70.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 348 | 47.4%165 W · 183 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 48c | 68.54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.64 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae3b…e06ebacked Under | 60c | 55.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.24 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Under | 32c | 54.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.41 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 68c | 54$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c9…ccbabacked Under | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 41cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e4…3876backed Under | 68c | 44.19$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f20…3a2abacked Under | 55c | 42.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +93.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa1…1ea8backed Over | 32c | 39.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 33c | 39.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x345c…b59dbacked Under | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 35.1$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.35 | 1,356 | 45.5%617 W · 739 L | +15.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 35c | 35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 52c | 34.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Under | 52c | 33.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.49 | 263 | 48.7%128 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 51c | 30.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.31 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 215 | 74.4%160 W · 55 L | +45.1wins | +0.21per pick | 53cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 71+0.19 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 426 | 25.8%110 W · 316 L | -33.7wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Over | 35c | 29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 56c | 25.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3f…6712backed Over | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Over | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfYes won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: Gimcheon Sangmu FC O/U 1.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 0.5Over won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Incheon United FC vs. Gimcheon Sangmu FC: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Gimcheon Sangmu FC (-1.5)Incheon United FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-1.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
- Spread: Incheon United FC (-2.5)Gimcheon Sangmu FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.