TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Denver Pioneers vs. Kansas City Roos

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Denver Pioneersof Denver Pioneers, Kansas City Roos
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$8,818
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$9,407

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,818 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Denver Pioneers61c2,000$1,227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.992,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e82…7670backed Kansas City Roos39c1,800$702 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70218650%93 W · 93 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6238…0523backed Denver Pioneers61c1,086$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.8516755.7%93 W · 74 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae8c…93cdbacked Kansas City Roos38c575$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.511347.8%54 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Kansas City Roos39c489.48$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.91,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0370…d000backed Kansas City Roos41c417$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6994036.9%347 W · 593 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecc2…eeefbacked Denver Pioneers67c416.37$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.97272.2%52 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick67cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Kansas City Roos38c401.99$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.768937.1%33 W · 56 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-23.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Denver Pioneers60c272.68$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.161,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc091…3d42backed Denver Pioneers59c258$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7872248.8%352 W · 370 L-23.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Roos33c198.06$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.471,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Kansas City Roos34c196$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.231,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc8f…3782backed Kansas City Roos43c185.92$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.5666831.4%210 W · 458 L-43.1wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Roos40c183.26$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.54,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Roos48c181.78$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.113,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f02…12f5backed Denver Pioneers62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.297646.1%35 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d84…6df0backed Denver Pioneers56c158.38$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.4853646.5%249 W · 287 L-24.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Kansas City Roos38c156.41$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.324,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked Denver Pioneers67c150.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1218167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Kansas City Roos37c130.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1499045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Denver Pioneers62c120.69$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.863,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Denver Pioneers63c101$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.741,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Denver Pioneers66c100$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345740.4%23 W · 34 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Kansas City Roos37c100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4336…28a7backed Denver Pioneers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5413464.2%86 W · 48 L+8.7wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Denver Pioneers62c96.77$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.774,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Kansas City Roos56c91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5744955.2%248 W · 201 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6f0…5701backed Denver Pioneers61c87.13$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.6436942.3%156 W · 213 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x989a…afbcbacked Denver Pioneers62c70.77$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.8970349.6%349 W · 354 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Denver Pioneers65c69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.911,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5101…4a4fbacked Kansas City Roos38c65.79$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2522656.2%127 W · 99 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed Kansas City Roos39c64.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0426740.8%109 W · 158 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Kansas City Roos38c63.78$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.355,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Kansas City Roos35c62.07$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.7237835.7%135 W · 243 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Denver Pioneers54c60.7$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.922,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Denver Pioneers55c60.63$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc6fa…51e5backed Kansas City Roos38c54.21$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.5218844.7%84 W · 104 L-10.4wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x72ea…d4f2backed Kansas City Roos38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021746.1%100 W · 117 L-6.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84cb…4b77backed Denver Pioneers64c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.153551.4%18 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc6…b20dbacked Denver Pioneers73c48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1834952.1%182 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Denver Pioneers59c41.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.111,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc064…6fa8backed Denver Pioneers46c41.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.33461.8%21 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81d6…1483backed Kansas City Roos52c38.46$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Denver Pioneers59c35.86$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.651,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa733…27e2backed Kansas City Roos37c33.32$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x785f…e3d9backed Kansas City Roos39c30.22$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8897447.9%467 W · 507 L-2.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd85…6a32backed Kansas City Roos39c30$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.615947.2%75 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Denver Pioneers63c25.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.6212,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc01…d914backed Kansas City Roos46c25$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4512537.6%47 W · 78 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Kansas City Roos50c22.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.42,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.