Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Samira De Stefano vs Daria Snigur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc1d6ee385c77b8a347c671c7c9dd644262953a462e1631805ceaf0bc44877a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Daria Snigurof Samira De Stefano, Daria Snigur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $63,264
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Samira De Stefano | 16c | 11,033$1,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,809.46 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Daria Snigur | 79c | 3,664$2,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.51 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd2d…0344backed Samira De Stefano | 29c | 3,390$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 93 | 35.5%33 W · 60 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Samira De Stefano | 12c | 2,115$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.75 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Daria Snigur | 72c | 2,000$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Samira De Stefano | 17c | 1,435$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.74 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Samira De Stefano | 21c | 1,429$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,865 | 44.7%834 W · 1,031 L | +36.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Samira De Stefano | 23c | 1,229$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.99 | 951 | 40.1%381 W · 570 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a9…e22ebacked Daria Snigur | 77c | 1,206$928 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.4 | 1,284 | 39.2%503 W · 781 L | -12.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d68…4354backed Samira De Stefano | 10c | 999.99$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 217 | 42.9%93 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3957…35f0backed Daria Snigur | 78c | 984.64$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.64 | 173 | 72.3%125 W · 48 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Samira De Stefano | 21c | 952.38$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1,865 | 45.6%851 W · 1,014 L | +50.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Daria Snigur | 78c | 850$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Daria Snigur | 77c | 800$619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.96 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Daria Snigur | 77c | 777.88$599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.91 | 410 | 60.5%248 W · 162 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb07e…0df5backed Samira De Stefano | 23c | 765$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.4 | 846 | 40%338 W · 508 L | -22.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Samira De Stefano | 10c | 689.68$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.97 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Samira De Stefano | 20c | 537.82$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.56 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb962…8519backed Samira De Stefano | 20c | 482.72$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.15 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Daria Snigur | 77c | 389.61$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Daria Snigur | 73c | 350$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.5 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Samira De Stefano | 23c | 330.65$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.05 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Samira De Stefano | 13c | 295.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.21 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Samira De Stefano | 23c | 250$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Samira De Stefano | 22c | 213.42$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.95 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Samira De Stefano | 12c | 212.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Samira De Stefano | 21c | 202.61$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.67 | 2,229 | 45%1,002 W · 1,227 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Daria Snigur | 59c | 200$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 399 | 41.9%167 W · 232 L | +13.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Daria Snigur | 75c | 176$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.24 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Daria Snigur | 56c | 150$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Samira De Stefano | 23c | 124.99$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.75 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Samira De Stefano | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 318 | 41.8%133 W · 185 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Samira De Stefano | 22c | 99.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Samira De Stefano | 22c | 90$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 957 | 42.1%403 W · 554 L | -24.9wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ded…9025backed Samira De Stefano | 24c | 72.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.36 | 248 | 37.5%93 W · 155 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84c7…bea7backed Daria Snigur | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 664 | 52.3%347 W · 317 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42d6…01ccbacked Daria Snigur | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 1,077 | 62.8%676 W · 401 L | -27.9wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Daria Snigur | 78c | 56.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Daria Snigur | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe25c…ae63backed Daria Snigur | 75c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 527 | 50.3%265 W · 262 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Daria Snigur | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 257 | 37%95 W · 162 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Samira De Stefano | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1,028 | 43.3%445 W · 583 L | -24.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27b1…3813backed Daria Snigur | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 1,168 | 49.1%573 W · 595 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Daria Snigur | 61c | 46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.94 | 694 | 38%264 W · 430 L | +21.0wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…40d3backed Daria Snigur | 79c | 36.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 114 | 69.3%79 W · 35 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc74d…9690backed Daria Snigur | 59c | 35.52$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 290 | 39.3%114 W · 176 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…5749backed Samira De Stefano | 30c | 34.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 2,855 | 49.4%1,410 W · 1,445 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x411e…72f0backed Daria Snigur | 78c | 19.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.23 | 157 | 62.4%98 W · 59 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…0436backed Daria Snigur | 71c | 18.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.31 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x976e…8453backed Daria Snigur | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 275 | 56%154 W · 121 L | -10.1wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.