Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc99a985bb3cdb78296ab8b9bbb1c7a10b06bd2d16d3c4fbbe727fe85e6da2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,357
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,412
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,357 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29a5…7752backed Yes | 39c | 586.9$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.95 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…33c9backed No | 29c | 514.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.83 | 896 | 61.7%553 W · 343 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82e7…f552backed Yes | 23c | 508.15$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 354 | 41%145 W · 209 L | -19.3wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 25c | 395.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.38 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 18c | 384.89$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.86 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x726e…aafbbacked Yes | 40c | 383.59$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.31 | 232 | 69%160 W · 72 L | +23.7wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x07d6…64fbbacked No | 77c | 360.27$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.36 | 210 | 68.6%144 W · 66 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa5c…a240backed Yes | 41c | 357.44$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.15 | 195 | 52.8%103 W · 92 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8383…cb59backed No | 20c | 300.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.83 | 495 | 43.6%216 W · 279 L | +31.2wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 58c | 290.55$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.05 | 340 | 50.6%172 W · 168 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b3…f0bebacked No | 39c | 248.52$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 82 | 70.7%58 W · 24 L | +7.0wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7581…2ca4backed Yes | 25c | 208.78$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.42 | 208 | 33.2%69 W · 139 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 17c | 202$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.18 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1b…da1ebacked Yes | 19c | 195.39$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.48 | 259 | 46.3%120 W · 139 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7615…308abacked No | 12c | 191.09$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 184 | 41.3%76 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 62c | 172$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.71 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0c…a853backed Yes | 11c | 171.59$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.39 | 2,249 | 34.2%769 W · 1,480 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc944…1686backed Yes | 13c | 166.93$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.5 | 345 | 33%114 W · 231 L | +20.6wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…dadbbacked Yes | 13c | 154.29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.29 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…187dbacked No | 43c | 153.37$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.12 | 613 | 65.3%400 W · 213 L | +43.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 75c | 142.84$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.96 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…1e34backed Yes | 25c | 139.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.32 | 1,312 | 45%590 W · 722 L | +33.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41f6…828ebacked Yes | 50c | 132.26$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.66 | 451 | 30.8%139 W · 312 L | +33.3wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e6…aa6cbacked No | 77c | 129.81$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 77.3%92 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 73cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…92e4backed Yes | 76c | 126.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.47 | 277 | 44%122 W · 155 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 60c | 121.82$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.68 | 1,026 | 60.8%624 W · 402 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40eb…ade9backed Yes | 64c | 118.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.09 | 495 | 47.1%233 W · 262 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd53b…fc94backed No | 59c | 117.84$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb7…943ebacked Yes | 22c | 106.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +139.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…0cc2backed No | 53c | 102$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.66 | 229 | 45.4%104 W · 125 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…6c9abacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1798…1ce9backed Yes | 20c | 99.97$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.98 | 2,428 | 44.9%1,091 W · 1,337 L | -31.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 47c | 99.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.32 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2eb8…0d00backed Yes | 77c | 96.42$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 206 | 62.1%128 W · 78 L | -14.0wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 64c | 89$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 45c | 87.15$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.37 | 3,474 | 33.9%1,177 W · 2,297 L | -175.6wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50e…45c5backed Yes | 43c | 84.75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.53 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Yes | 21c | 79.14$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94b1…27cbbacked No | 78c | 77.18$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.99 | 975 | 70.6%688 W · 287 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2729backed Yes | 75c | 76.78$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.46 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc118…18e2backed Yes | 22c | 69.29$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.39 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +26.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ad…c303backed Yes | 46c | 67.82$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.78 | 31 | 77.4%24 W · 7 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 62cpaid | +25%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 79c | 65.71$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.03 | 1,543 | 60.5%934 W · 609 L | -19.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd6e…b651backed No | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 67.4%31 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae37…90f2backed Yes | 18c | 62.84$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.64 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdca4…e93dbacked Yes | 45c | 61.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.56 | 2,501 | 45.5%1,138 W · 1,363 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 78c | 61.01$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.45 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 78c | 60.58$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.43 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked No | 36c | 60.36$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,046 | 57%1,167 W · 879 L | +73.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8473…5511backed Yes | 28c | 58.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.23 | 91 | 28.6%26 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6854…67d0backed No | 49c | 58.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.57 | 617 | 52.8%326 W · 291 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe0…52dcbacked Yes | 29c | 57.15$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdedd…17e1backed No | 39c | 56.02$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 2,432 | 60.4%1,470 W · 962 L | +30.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Yes | 62c | 54.26$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.57 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 78c | 51.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9cc…59abbacked No | 78c | 51.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.98 | 688 | 67.2%462 W · 226 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…290dbacked Yes | 24c | 50.2$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.05 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed No | 55c | 50$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 481 | 49.5%238 W · 243 L | -26.0wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x96e6…fecebacked Yes | 53c | 47.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.59 | 261 | 42.1%110 W · 151 L | +15.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 46.94$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.79 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 73c | 45.86$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc120…a7e3backed No | 49c | 42.58$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 1,299 | 54.1%703 W · 596 L | +24.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 55c | 40.88$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 2,626 | 54%1,418 W · 1,208 L | -56.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8490…ac46backed Yes | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.21per pick | 33cpaid | +60.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 30c | 37.9$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.53 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaee7…8834backed Yes | 34c | 37.84$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8b9…3afcbacked No | 67c | 35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 204 | 38.7%79 W · 125 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 50c | 34.86$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.29 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…e7b7backed No | 80c | 34.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,585 | 78.5%1,244 W · 341 L | +39.7wins | +0.03per pick | 76cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 52c | 34.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cb…fd34backed No | 72c | 33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 31 | 71%22 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19b9…3d3bbacked No | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd14d…b3cbbacked No | 80c | 32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1abc…45e7backed No | 39c | 31.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2,099 | 58.3%1,224 W · 875 L | +83.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed No | 79c | 31.62$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.95 | 373 | 55%205 W · 168 L | +20.5wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 73c | 30$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f64…9600backed Yes | 77c | 26.7$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.05 | 107 | 58.9%63 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b3…1b7ebacked No | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,385 | 65.8%911 W · 474 L | +62.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5068…1ffabacked No | 77c | 25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…b050backed No | 80c | 24.23$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c2a…b7b5backed Yes | 66c | 23.62$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.13 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xae28…8883backed Yes | 80c | 22.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53bc…be7cbacked No | 77c | 22.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.33 | 627 | 70.5%442 W · 185 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2512…601fbacked Yes | 70c | 21.16$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.29 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe47d…94e5backed No | 53c | 20.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -57%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 77c | 20.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked No | 59c | 20.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 926 | 2.5%23 W · 903 L | -379.9wins | -0.41per pick | 44cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 6-0.40 edge/pick |
| 0xecc6…55bfbacked No | 80c | 20.11$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 83 | 85.5%71 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.08per pick | 78cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35c4…d144backed Yes | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 1,255 | 62.5%785 W · 470 L | +99.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b62…e627backed No | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.12 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e72…ffb9backed No | 76c | 18.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 2,102 | 56.5%1,188 W · 914 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe7d…fd73backed No | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -7.0wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf73f…ee53backed No | 71c | 18.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 2,950 | 33.6%992 W · 1,958 L | +9.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6d…4abebacked No | 60c | 18.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.94 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd7a…7bfbbacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 4,961 | 68.3%3,386 W · 1,575 L | +65.6wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…7a24backed No | 80c | 15.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86c…2a30backed No | 79c | 15.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -5.3wins | -0.48per pick | 67cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x82ce…e92abacked No | 74c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27c5…0d4cbacked No | 71c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59ad…0cf2backed No | 78c | 14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | -7.0wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on June 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 30°C on June 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.