Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccd160a42ac67f4b0990a4c7e1ab99284a78d8d7cf1b3d1b00678b12d1806c56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,447
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,160
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,447 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x821d…cf16backed Yes | 24c | 3,658$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.93 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24e…1be8backed Yes | 16c | 2,037$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.72 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 28c | 1,450$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.84 | 2,123 | 35.5%754 W · 1,369 L | -24.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked No | 75c | 1,280$955 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.12 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x487e…0d66backed Yes | 24c | 1,258$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 72c | 717.57$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.78 | 942 | 44.6%420 W · 522 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe419…8aedbacked Yes | 24c | 690.48$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.5 | 28 | 21.4%6 W · 22 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 78c | 657.53$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.59 | 2,366 | 46.8%1,108 W · 1,258 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 75c | 605.81$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.13 | 73 | 47.9%35 W · 38 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 30c | 588.02$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.41 | 2,729 | 35.8%978 W · 1,751 L | -13.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb31…fe71backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf4…5324backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ad…089abacked Yes | 22c | 454.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed No | 70c | 426.99$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.21 | 130 | 47.7%62 W · 68 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed No | 75c | 388.72$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.18 | 217 | 42.4%92 W · 125 L | +7.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf481…1b6bbacked Yes | 23c | 345.52$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…0935backed No | 76c | 328.42$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 26 | 88.5%23 W · 3 L | +9.2wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +68.6%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x9661…36f6backed Yes | 27c | 287$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.28 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e9…e746backed Yes | 21c | 285.71$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 76c | 278.91$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.09 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e3…f1bdbacked Yes | 30c | 254$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.4 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d7…2968backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +48.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed No | 80c | 248.75$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.75 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe432…934abacked No | 74c | 246$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.96 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66a…ed6abacked No | 72c | 206.93$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.68 | 63 | 71.4%45 W · 18 L | +8.4wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5577…53d2backed Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 1,157 | 53.1%614 W · 543 L | +43.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 79c | 168.47$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.38 | 1,507 | 48.1%725 W · 782 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes | 20c | 150.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.01 | 483 | 43.9%212 W · 271 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…ecadbacked Yes | 24c | 139.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 73c | 119.35$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.25 | 940 | 48.1%452 W · 488 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 18c | 114.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +13.4wins | +0.22per pick | 42cpaid | +53%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 74c | 110$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 1,004 | 53.4%536 W · 468 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 27c | 107.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 907 | 57.9%525 W · 382 L | +55.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…fa76backed Yes | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb66a…b156backed No | 78c | 87.13$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.45 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 81.85$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 2,103 | 36.6%770 W · 1,333 L | -27.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14f2…2cb0backed Yes | 28c | 71.43$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81a7…7042backed No | 79c | 68.77$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 75 | 33.3%25 W · 50 L | -8.8wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x46d4…ab12backed Yes | 29c | 61.58$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 80c | 61$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 128 | 64.8%83 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 286 | 51.7%148 W · 138 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 2,167 | 47.9%1,038 W · 1,129 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7730…3e8cbacked Yes | 21c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 80c | 49$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 2,607 | 52.1%1,358 W · 1,249 L | +9.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 27c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 259 | 45.9%119 W · 140 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 80c | 37.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 421 | 52.3%220 W · 201 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a00…59e2backed No | 76c | 32.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 361 | 53.5%193 W · 168 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe134…f6dabacked No | 73c | 15.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Groningen vs. Fortuna Sittard end in a draw?this page
- Will FC Groningen win on 2026-08-28?No won
- Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-28?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.