TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Vukic vs Aziz Dougaz

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Aleksandar Vukicof Aleksandar Vukic, Aziz Dougaz
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,797
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,625

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,797 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4699…5051backed Aziz Dougaz7c2,714$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1909737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Aziz Dougaz13c1,596$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.878,50542.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L-166.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Aziz Dougaz31c1,594$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.9311,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Aziz Dougaz21c1,524$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.458,82836.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L-193.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Aleksandar Vukic69c1,449$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.2838557.1%220 W · 165 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed Aleksandar Vukic71c1,408$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.4562956.9%358 W · 271 L+0.8wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Aleksandar Vukic79c1,242$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.654,53367.7%3,071 W · 1,462 L+306.6wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Aziz Dougaz9c517.12$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.384,18544.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L+14.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Aziz Dougaz9c376.47$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.625,35056.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L+228.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7547…d158backed Aziz Dougaz37c355.6$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.667,04939.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L-20.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Aleksandar Vukic73c342.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.61,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Aziz Dougaz12c312.4$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.063,06857.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L+173.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cba…b694backed Aziz Dougaz17c281.12$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.71,42944.2%631 W · 798 L-23.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Aleksandar Vukic63c238.1$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.11,18652.4%622 W · 564 L+28.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Aziz Dougaz17c199.99$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.271,70844.8%766 W · 942 L-18.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Aleksandar Vukic72c193.99$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.324,24152.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L+65.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd96…11a3backed Aziz Dougaz32c158.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,27458%1,318 W · 956 L-10.3wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Aziz Dougaz24c142.01$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.081,55642.4%660 W · 896 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x634a…dddfbacked Aleksandar Vukic71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.8530647.7%146 W · 160 L+12.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1eb9…2e4cbacked Aleksandar Vukic76c131.97$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9710266.7%68 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef9…11b4backed Aleksandar Vukic77c129.72$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.7216467.7%111 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Aziz Dougaz35c119.24$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.4467848.4%328 W · 350 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3171…b991backed Aleksandar Vukic76c105.53$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5333551.9%174 W · 161 L-15.3wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-7.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Aziz Dougaz28c100.16$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9155941.3%231 W · 328 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Aziz Dougaz19c88.22$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8872147.3%341 W · 380 L-18.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4126…e68bbacked Aleksandar Vukic79c75$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.051,15969%800 W · 359 L+56.8wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Aziz Dougaz35c74.04$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.575,26128.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L-19.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x55e7…4fb9backed Aziz Dougaz38c68$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.8443553.1%231 W · 204 L+11.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb86c…b76fbacked Aleksandar Vukic66c56.11$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0820763.3%131 W · 76 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick66cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x882d…be85backed Aleksandar Vukic66c50.88$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+52%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f40…16c7backed Aleksandar Vukic63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.511163.1%70 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c55…84cebacked Aleksandar Vukic63c50$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.511929.4%35 W · 84 L-17.1wins-0.14per pick44cpaid-35.6%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Aziz Dougaz34c49.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1793945.5%427 W · 512 L+20.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x160a…43d3backed Aziz Dougaz27c49.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.455534.5%19 W · 36 L-8.8wins-0.16per pick51cpaid-36.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Aleksandar Vukic71c44.5$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.743,87445.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L-39.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2077…8161backed Aleksandar Vukic65c43.63$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.271,02157.8%590 W · 431 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x00c5…b5e9backed Aleksandar Vukic65c42.54$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.6823162.8%145 W · 86 L+0.6wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Aziz Dougaz36c41.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517140.9%70 W · 101 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Aziz Dougaz34c40.88$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.917931.8%57 W · 122 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+0.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0c55…3408backed Aleksandar Vukic66c40$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.69162.6%57 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6847…f1eabacked Aleksandar Vukic64c39.44$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.213770.1%96 W · 41 L+0.2wins0.00per pick70cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Aleksandar Vukic62c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.163,25648.2%1,570 W · 1,686 L-53.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9755…ab85backed Aleksandar Vukic63c31.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.6735851.7%185 W · 173 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ef1…5acabacked Aziz Dougaz35c31$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.851,79460.2%1,080 W · 714 L+6.8wins0.00per pick60cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6feb…c082backed Aleksandar Vukic65c28.4$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.9430644.1%135 W · 171 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…203abacked Aleksandar Vukic69c28.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.739161.5%56 W · 35 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x007b…1fd2backed Aleksandar Vukic69c28.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.7316964.5%109 W · 60 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick65cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd995…a618backed Aleksandar Vukic69c28.16$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.732572%18 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Aleksandar Vukic64c21.21$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.641,42155%782 W · 639 L+23.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7b…b79fbacked Aleksandar Vukic76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.89867.3%66 W · 32 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick70cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x341d…2995backed Aleksandar Vukic65c16.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.9231161.1%190 W · 121 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6209…6767backed Aleksandar Vukic70c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.59366.7%62 W · 31 L-5.4wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-8.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.