Tennis · resolved market
Lexus Eastbourne Open: Talia Gibson vs Madison Keys
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xccf2dbabd2e988e41b941ccb1f09d74cdf517b255aa5eeb4847d7e4aa3b53201
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Madison Keysof Talia Gibson, Madison Keys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $144,915
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $150,784
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,915 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf764…61e6backed Talia Gibson | 7c | 12,569$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$935.95 | 237 | 23.6%56 W · 181 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Talia Gibson | 11c | 7,999$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$897.48 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Talia Gibson | 18c | 6,899$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.4 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…6afdbacked Talia Gibson | 21c | 6,520$1,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +4.6wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 4,358$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.84 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Talia Gibson | 16c | 3,602$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.76 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Talia Gibson | 20c | 3,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Talia Gibson | 21c | 1,749$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.57 | 374 | 21.9%82 W · 292 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Talia Gibson | 16c | 1,698$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.26 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Talia Gibson | 7c | 1,677$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Talia Gibson | 21c | 1,668$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.29 | 334 | 38.6%129 W · 205 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Talia Gibson | 3c | 1,289$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…70b1backed Madison Keys | 79c | 1,107$874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.51 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Talia Gibson | 15c | 938.05$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.23 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e72…d0b9backed Talia Gibson | 4c | 600$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 707 | 29.1%206 W · 501 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Talia Gibson | 24c | 499.97$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe871…8eaebacked Madison Keys | 80c | 492.93$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.59 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -4.4wins | -0.20per pick | 56cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x79d0…4dffbacked Talia Gibson | 4c | 435.34$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 312 | 20.5%64 W · 248 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Talia Gibson | 21c | 418.62$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.91 | 1,566 | 40%627 W · 939 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a8…6764backed Talia Gibson | 21c | 415.19$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 193 | 46.6%90 W · 103 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Talia Gibson | 10c | 414.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Madison Keys | 79c | 329.99$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.3 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked Talia Gibson | 12c | 321.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 275 | 28.4%78 W · 197 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0374…1782backed Talia Gibson | 3c | 305.64$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 26 | 15.4%4 W · 22 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Talia Gibson | 10c | 288.35$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.13 | 803 | 41.8%336 W · 467 L | -20.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Talia Gibson | 11c | 288$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe857…7b3bbacked Talia Gibson | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 838 | 23.2%194 W · 644 L | -58.0wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdff7…d9d4backed Talia Gibson | 10c | 239.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 250 | 20.8%52 W · 198 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Talia Gibson | 25c | 238.46$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Talia Gibson | 14c | 238.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.52 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Talia Gibson | 10c | 229.34$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.84 | 1,062 | 42%446 W · 616 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Madison Keys | 78c | 200$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Talia Gibson | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Talia Gibson | 10c | 199.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 99 | 13.1%13 W · 86 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 14cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Talia Gibson | 24c | 198.28$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…1d75backed Madison Keys | 76c | 148.68$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.68 | 401 | 61.1%245 W · 156 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Madison Keys | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Talia Gibson | 22c | 124.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 336 | 50.9%171 W · 165 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Talia Gibson | 21c | 110$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68f0…7443backed Talia Gibson | 17c | 105.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Madison Keys | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Talia Gibson | 20c | 86.1$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Madison Keys | 80c | 81.74$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…fe2fbacked Talia Gibson | 22c | 79.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 627 | 27.3%171 W · 456 L | -15.7wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d9…c3cabacked Talia Gibson | 19c | 75.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.31 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Talia Gibson | 24c | 75$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.75 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Madison Keys | 77c | 70$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.1 | 1,094 | 52.4%573 W · 521 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Madison Keys | 76c | 67.12$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.11 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Madison Keys | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Madison Keys | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 834 | 47.5%396 W · 438 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…75f1backed Madison Keys | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 514 | 45.5%234 W · 280 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Madison Keys | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Madison Keys | 76c | 49.97$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.14 | 439 | 52.4%230 W · 209 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ea…42e8backed Madison Keys | 75c | 38.56$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 898 | 59.7%536 W · 362 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Madison Keys | 79c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Madison Keys | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Madison Keys | 79c | 22.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 688 | 57.3%394 W · 294 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Madison Keys | 80c | 21.1$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.22 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed Madison Keys | 80c | 21$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 592 | 53.5%317 W · 275 L | +22.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Madison Keys | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.04 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lexus Eastbourne Open: Talia Gibson vs Madison Keysthis page
- Gibson vs. Keys: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Gibson vs KeysKeys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.