Asian League · resolved market
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd45a4d4ba6d103c2cc21d923cd792b15ddc00ebb72bfbbd986224ed1e9b636f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,298
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,218
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,298 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 55c | 7,772$4,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,510.37 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 55c | 5,448$3,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,012.58 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 46c | 5,239$2,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,839.5 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 7c | 4,587$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.26 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 57c | 4,119$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366.36 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked No | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -7.3wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 26c | 1,399$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.2 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 70c | 1,212$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.91 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 69c | 1,079$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.35 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5806backed Yes | 70c | 938.96$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.95 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked No | 3c | 777$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 34 | 5.9%2 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -92.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8930…db72backed Yes | 66c | 761$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.74 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked No | 14c | 715.76$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.23 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed No | 17c | 677.89$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.99 | 136 | 54.4%74 W · 62 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 37c | 543.85$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.85 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 68c | 441$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.88 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd21c…2afcbacked No | 13c | 399.99$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaae5…7974backed No | 23c | 396.54$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.64 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked No | 15c | 353.12$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.94 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked No | 4c | 320$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d1…de26backed Yes | 29c | 310.34$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.34 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 71c | 218.45$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.1 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 30c | 193.75$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.66 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 16c | 167.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.32 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6500…c795backed Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +46.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 69c | 139.96$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 539 | 46.9%253 W · 286 L | -14.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 50c | 110.99$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…1388backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.45 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 47c | 101.86$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.67 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43ed…6232backed No | 68c | 98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.64 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87f7…8f45backed No | 68c | 97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.96 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ce…da46backed Yes | 38c | 96.78$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Yes | 61c | 90.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 24c | 90.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.03 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.21 | 176 | 30.1%53 W · 123 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed No | 47c | 85.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…965abacked No | 15c | 80.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 88 | 36.4%32 W · 56 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1d…2dd6backed Yes | 75c | 79.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.66 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 31c | 76.79$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.99 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8e…944ebacked No | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 63 | 82.5%52 W · 11 L | +6.0wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed No | 68c | 68.08$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.29 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.7wins | -0.39per pick | 67cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Yes | 47c | 56.02$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 319 | 60.2%192 W · 127 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 54.73$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…f409backed Yes | 31c | 52.13$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…49c9backed No | 49c | 49.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.09 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 47c | 47.91$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57ef…044abacked No | 56c | 46.04$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Yes | 67c | 45.73$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 206 | 38.8%80 W · 126 L | -14.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Yes | 42c | 41.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.95 | 64 | 60.9%39 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee71…9204backed Yes | 43c | 39.53$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 33c | 36.36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.36 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…4815backed Yes | 31c | 36.03$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.03 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee0…d8e1backed No | 74c | 35.48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +69.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccad…46ecbacked No | 72c | 33.33$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Yes | 43c | 32.23$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 564 | 45.4%256 W · 308 L | -25.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd966…8136backed Yes | 39c | 28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 41cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Yes | 57c | 24.3$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +7.1wins | +0.20per pick | 31cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed No | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +8.5wins | +0.21per pick | 31cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc8…a0e4backed No | 69c | 18.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 74 | 67.6%50 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 69c | 18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.42 | 136 | 44.9%61 W · 75 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b18…efaebacked No | 77c | 15.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.84 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed No | 68c | 14.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 43 | 46.5%20 W · 23 L | -4.6wins | -0.11per pick | 57cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 71c | 14.39$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.22 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-14?No won
- Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-08-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.