Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Broady (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce3b85c82b000c6a9030837c15678b9fef54e03eaa7e8da66c386a8c3b91c5a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cecchinatoof Broady, Cecchinato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,337
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,413
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,337 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x49e0…9af1backed Broady | 50c | 3,989$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Cecchinato | 50c | 1,300$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Cecchinato | 51c | 1,300$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$643.5 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Cecchinato | 49c | 809.11$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.74 | 671 | 44.7%300 W · 371 L | +30.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Cecchinato | 53c | 650$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.5 | 423 | 41.4%175 W · 248 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Cecchinato | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Cecchinato | 53c | 369$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.43 | 379 | 44.6%169 W · 210 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Cecchinato | 54c | 99.99$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 361 | 61.8%223 W · 138 L | +41.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Cecchinato | 51c | 79.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 437 | 43.7%191 W · 246 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a9…68b6backed Cecchinato | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 126 | 57.1%72 W · 54 L | +9.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Cecchinato | 53c | 61.82$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.05 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b23…6b2bbacked Cecchinato | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 43cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed Cecchinato | 51c | 33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 695 | 45.8%318 W · 377 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5476…c949backed Cecchinato | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Broady (-1.5) vs Cecchinato (+1.5)this page
- Set 1 Winner: Cecchinato vs BroadyCecchinato won
- US Open, Qualification ATP: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam BroadyMarco Cecchinato won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.