TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs ex-Vexa - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
MIBR Academyof MIBR Academy, ex-Vexa
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$24,945
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,225

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,945 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xddc3…029cbacked MIBR Academy54c4,500$2,452 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,047.8292456.8%525 W · 399 L+2.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed ex-Vexa21c1,795$377 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.072,62630.9%812 W · 1,814 L-105.4wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-29.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked MIBR Academy71c1,487$1,049 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.891,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-Vexa52c1,436$751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.891,03353.2%550 W · 483 L+64.9wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked ex-Vexa34c1,245$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.483,91036.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L-197.6wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed ex-Vexa40c858.55$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$345.411,08854.2%590 W · 498 L+39.3wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ex-Vexa23c799.95$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.063,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed ex-Vexa18c765.53$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.41,40738.9%547 W · 860 L-41.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed MIBR Academy73c587$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.585,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked ex-Vexa31c532.14$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.962,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed MIBR Academy61c500$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.712,43444.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L-64.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-Vexa45c475.33$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.852,32851.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L+92.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2140…0e12backed MIBR Academy58c427.52$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.0255039.6%218 W · 332 L-20.7wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcef…fd7fbacked ex-Vexa27c372.69$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.6312846.1%59 W · 69 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked MIBR Academy41c258$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.37,92550.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L+179.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed ex-Vexa10c174$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.41,30426.5%345 W · 959 L-89.4wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xab2a…30edbacked MIBR Academy65c168$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.9114057.9%81 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Vexa23c140.67$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.674,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked ex-Vexa25c140$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.82,47334.6%855 W · 1,618 L-188.5wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed MIBR Academy42c124.93$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4689046.1%410 W · 480 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ex-Vexa54c111.01$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.062,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64d4…f056backed ex-Vexa45c104.98$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7166436.6%243 W · 421 L-35.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-29.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xefa3…7585backed ex-Vexa37c103$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.1177351.2%396 W · 377 L+24.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Vexa21c89$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.462,13642.9%916 W · 1,220 L-68.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked ex-Vexa19c86.3$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.611,63043.2%704 W · 926 L-32.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked ex-Vexa43c81.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3530638.9%119 W · 187 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcdbd…d0dfbacked MIBR Academy43c73$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.6113060.8%79 W · 51 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked MIBR Academy68c70$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.683,20245.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L-79.3wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x77de…e67abacked ex-Vexa26c68.09$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5952645.1%237 W · 289 L-20.2wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x349e…867bbacked MIBR Academy42c62.9$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.4874653.5%399 W · 347 L+9.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed MIBR Academy43c51$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.0745754.5%249 W · 208 L+18.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f40…c8ffbacked ex-Vexa35c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.2511831.4%37 W · 81 L-6.2wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x94d2…cfbdbacked MIBR Academy77c49$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.172,11047.2%995 W · 1,115 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked MIBR Academy44c48.89$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.3842255.7%235 W · 187 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed ex-Vexa32c35.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed MIBR Academy39c27.59$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8340857.1%233 W · 175 L+15.2wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed MIBR Academy43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2521251.9%110 W · 102 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked MIBR Academy43c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.2527156.8%154 W · 117 L+13.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+4.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed MIBR Academy42c25$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.551446.9%241 W · 273 L-22.0wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x91ca…a3dfbacked MIBR Academy67c22.54$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.543842.1%16 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3238…6471backed MIBR Academy65c21.72$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.61070%7 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4861…4fcabacked MIBR Academy53c20.17$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5713148.1%63 W · 68 L-9.6wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-19.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked MIBR Academy66c20.01$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.751,06855%587 W · 481 L-1.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.