Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Salvador Price vs Santiago Pesino
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8d7bf17438ab1f49758029e48b5755c7ee155307e2b79eb618edac84468831
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salvador Priceof Salvador Price, Santiago Pesino
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,882
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,075
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,882 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Salvador Price | 67c | 10,000$6,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,300 | 1,178 | 46.3%545 W · 633 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Santiago Pesino | 50c | 4,679$2,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,339.45 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Santiago Pesino | 31c | 2,119$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.17 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Santiago Pesino | 24c | 1,845$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.82 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Salvador Price | 54c | 1,714$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$784.15 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Santiago Pesino | 49c | 918.93$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450.28 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Salvador Price | 63c | 680$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.03 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Santiago Pesino | 50c | 350$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 561 | 53.7%301 W · 260 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Santiago Pesino | 29c | 310.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Santiago Pesino | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Salvador Price | 63c | 227.98$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.28 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Santiago Pesino | 24c | 212.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Santiago Pesino | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Santiago Pesino | 51c | 205.56$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Santiago Pesino | 26c | 203.85$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Salvador Price | 58c | 201.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 3,605 | 42.4%1,530 W · 2,075 L | -43.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Santiago Pesino | 24c | 187.5$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Santiago Pesino | 23c | 160.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Santiago Pesino | 43c | 153.49$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ef…9a2cbacked Santiago Pesino | 34c | 146.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.6 | 788 | 57.1%450 W · 338 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Santiago Pesino | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Santiago Pesino | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Santiago Pesino | 24c | 125$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Santiago Pesino | 52c | 117$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.33 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Santiago Pesino | 51c | 102$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.57 | 298 | 51.7%154 W · 144 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb41e…db27backed Santiago Pesino | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd1…f311backed Salvador Price | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 255 | 51%130 W · 125 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Salvador Price | 53c | 81.15$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.45 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83a…8355backed Santiago Pesino | 56c | 80.96$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 652 | 59.4%387 W · 265 L | +31.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Santiago Pesino | 54c | 79.63$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Santiago Pesino | 24c | 78.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Salvador Price | 53c | 75$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.25 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Santiago Pesino | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Santiago Pesino | 24c | 59.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Santiago Pesino | 20c | 51.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd958…f864backed Santiago Pesino | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Santiago Pesino | 43c | 38.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.49 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Santiago Pesino | 30c | 35.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.69 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x874d…7fd8backed Santiago Pesino | 48c | 31.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -5.7wins | -0.34per pick | 57cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Salvador Price | 64c | 29.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 2,854 | 39.5%1,126 W · 1,728 L | -83.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Salvador Price | 55c | 26$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5663…f2e5backed Santiago Pesino | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 349 | 57.9%202 W · 147 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Salvador Price | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.91 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Salvador Price | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 1,725 | 52.2%901 W · 824 L | -8.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Salvador Price | 62c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e20…5cf9backed Salvador Price | 77c | 18.12$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 355 | 55.5%197 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Salvador Price | 77c | 17.95$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.